Rapid Intensification Guidance

 EP062021 210722 00UTC
 Storm Located at           :     14.00    145.70
 Guidance run with Vmax [kt]:    30.


 Initial Conditions: 
 Predictor                Value    Favorable(F)/Unfavorable(U) 
 INTENSITY (VMAX) [kt]    30.00             F
 12-H DELTA VMAX  [kt]     0.00             N
 CORE SIZE        [km]     2.20             F
 CONVECTION <-50C [%]      5.00            VU
 CONVECTION <-60C [%]      0.00             U
 IR CORE SYMMETRY [K]      4.10             F
 TC SIZE          [%]     49.00             F


 Forecast Conditions:
 Predictor              Value                                         Favorable(F)/Unfavor(U) 
                           6    12    18    24    36    48    60    72  6 12 18 24 36 48 60 72
 Wind Shear [kt]        47.2  43.2  38.9  35.2  35.7  36.0  41.8  43.7 VU VU  U  U  U  U VU VU
 Ocean Heat [kJ/cm^2]    0.0   3.0   9.0  15.0  11.0   2.0   0.0   0.0  U  U  U  U  U  U  U  U
 Potential [kt]         96.0  97.7  99.4  99.4  96.0  92.7  92.7  92.7  N  N  N  N  N  N  N  N
 200mb Divg [10^6/s]    26.0  34.0  34.0  37.0 -19.0 -48.0  -5.0 -35.0  U  N  N  N  U VU  U VU
 Humidity 700-500 hPa   50.0  51.0  50.0  47.0  49.0  47.0  47.0  45.0  U  U  U VU  U VU VU VU
 T Advectio [10^6 K/s]   3.0   1.0   3.0   5.0   3.0   4.0   4.0   4.0  N  N  N  N  N  N  N  N


    Probabilities[%] of Rapid intensification
 Thresholds   LDA-Method  LRE-Method  CONSENSUS
 20kt / 12h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 25kt / 24h        0.0%        0.1%        0.0%
 30kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 35kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 40kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 45kt / 36h        0.0%        0.1%        0.1%
 55kt / 36h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 55kt / 48h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 70kt / 48h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 65kt / 72h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
Decapatation Guidance NOT VALID
Thermodyanmic Conditions Unfavorable for Intense Typhoons