Rapid Intensification Guidance

 SH032021 201212 00UTC
 Storm Located at           :    -26.10    125.00
 Guidance run with Vmax [kt]:    30.


 Initial Conditions: 
 Predictor                Value    Favorable(F)/Unfavorable(U) 
 INTENSITY (VMAX) [kt]    30.00             F
 12-H DELTA VMAX  [kt]     0.00             N
 CORE SIZE        [km]     9.80             F
 CONVECTION <-50C [%]      0.00            VU
 CONVECTION <-60C [%]      0.00             U
 IR CORE SYMMETRY [K]      7.40             F
 TC SIZE          [%]    115.00             N


 Forecast Conditions:
 Predictor              Value                                         Favorable(F)/Unfavor(U) 
                           6    12    18    24    36    48    60    72  6 12 18 24 36 48 60 72
 Wind Shear [kt]        41.6  42.4  49.9  47.4  41.5  28.2  26.4  57.5 VU VU VU VU VU  N  N VU
 Ocean Heat [kJ/cm^2]    0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0  U  U  U  U  U  U  U  U
 Potential [kt]         44.1  41.4  34.6  24.3  20.3  17.9  16.1  15.6  U  U VU VU VU VU VU VU
 200mb Divg [10^6/s]    43.0  38.0  19.0  10.0   5.0  25.0  23.0  30.0  N  N  U  U  U  U  U  N
 Humidity 700-500 hPa   59.0  59.0  53.0  52.0  45.0  39.0  32.0  32.0  U  U  U  U VU VU VU VU
 T Advectio [10^6 K/s] -77.0 -75.0 -50.0 -31.0 -13.0   8.0  11.0  36.0 VF VF VF VF VF  U  U VU


    Probabilities[%] of Rapid intensification
 Thresholds   LDA-Method  LRE-Method  CONSENSUS
 20kt / 12h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 25kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 30kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 35kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 40kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 45kt / 36h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 55kt / 36h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 55kt / 48h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 70kt / 48h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 65kt / 72h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
Decapatation Guidance NOT VALID
Thermodyanmic Conditions Unfavorable for Intense Typhoons