Rapid Intensification Guidance

 SH202021 210212 00UTC
 Storm Located at           :    -38.40    189.40
 Guidance run with Vmax [kt]:    35.


 Initial Conditions: 
 Predictor                Value    Favorable(F)/Unfavorable(U) 
 INTENSITY (VMAX) [kt]    35.00             F
 12-H DELTA VMAX  [kt]     0.00             N
 CORE SIZE        [km]    11.80             F
 CONVECTION <-50C [%]      0.00            VU
 CONVECTION <-60C [%]      0.00             U
 IR CORE SYMMETRY [K]      0.00             F
 TC SIZE          [%]    125.00             N


 Forecast Conditions:
 Predictor              Value                                         Favorable(F)/Unfavor(U) 
                           6    12    18    24    36    48    60    72  6 12 18 24 36 48 60 72
 Wind Shear [kt]        50.8  61.5  67.7  84.4  65.0  33.5  19.1  14.0 VU VU VU VU VU  U  N  F
 Ocean Heat [kJ/cm^2]    0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0  U  U  U  U  U  U  U  U
 Potential [kt]         27.2  24.2  21.6  19.0  16.5  17.6  19.6  20.9 VU VU VU VU VU VU VU VU
 200mb Divg [10^6/s]    61.0  57.0  68.0  91.0  64.0  34.0  31.0  -1.0  N  N  N  F  N  N  N  U
 Humidity 700-500 hPa   48.0  40.0  40.0  39.0  38.0  34.0  28.0  31.0  U VU VU VU VU VU VU VU
 T Advectio [10^6 K/s] -23.0 -39.0 -15.0 -12.0  14.0   2.0  -2.0   2.0 VF VF VF  F  U  N  N  N


    Probabilities[%] of Rapid intensification
 Thresholds   LDA-Method  LRE-Method  CONSENSUS
 20kt / 12h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 25kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 30kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 35kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 40kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 45kt / 36h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 55kt / 36h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 55kt / 48h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 70kt / 48h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 65kt / 72h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
Decapatation Guidance NOT VALID
Thermodyanmic Conditions Unfavorable for Intense Typhoons