Rapid Intensification Guidance

 SH252021 210309 00UTC
 Storm Located at           :    -27.70     63.90
 Guidance run with Vmax [kt]:    30.


 Initial Conditions: 
 Predictor                Value    Favorable(F)/Unfavorable(U) 
 INTENSITY (VMAX) [kt]    30.00             F
 12-H DELTA VMAX  [kt]     0.00             N
 CORE SIZE        [km]    10.60             F
 CONVECTION <-50C [%]      0.00            VU
 CONVECTION <-60C [%]      0.00             U
 IR CORE SYMMETRY [K]      0.00             F
 TC SIZE          [%]     76.00             F


 Forecast Conditions:
 Predictor              Value                                         Favorable(F)/Unfavor(U) 
                           6    12    18    24    36    48    60    72  6 12 18 24 36 48 60 72
 Wind Shear [kt]        57.9  57.0  56.1  50.3  43.5  49.4  40.1  41.3 VU VU VU VU VU VU  U VU
 Ocean Heat [kJ/cm^2]    0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0  U  U  U  U  U  U  U  U
 Potential [kt]         86.5  85.0  79.4  75.4  64.8  63.8  64.8  64.8  N  N  N  U  U  U  U  U
 200mb Divg [10^6/s]    13.0  41.0   9.0 -12.0  -2.0 -36.0 -55.0 -35.0  U  N  U  U  U VU VU VU
 Humidity 700-500 hPa   39.0  38.0  37.0  36.0  33.0  36.0  34.0  32.0 VU VU VU VU VU VU VU VU
 T Advectio [10^6 K/s] -18.0  -5.0 -13.0 -15.0  -9.0  -7.0   3.0  12.0 VF  F VF VF  F  F  N  U


    Probabilities[%] of Rapid intensification
 Thresholds   LDA-Method  LRE-Method  CONSENSUS
 20kt / 12h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 25kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 30kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 35kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 40kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 45kt / 36h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 55kt / 36h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 55kt / 48h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 70kt / 48h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 65kt / 72h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
Decapatation Guidance NOT VALID
Thermodyanmic Conditions Unfavorable for Intense Typhoons