Rapid Intensification Guidance

 WP062021 210627 12UTC
 Storm Located at           :     33.70    144.20
 Guidance run with Vmax [kt]:    35.


 Initial Conditions: 
 Predictor                Value    Favorable(F)/Unfavorable(U) 
 INTENSITY (VMAX) [kt]    35.00             F
 12-H DELTA VMAX  [kt]     0.00             N
 CORE SIZE        [km]     9.00             F
 CONVECTION <-50C [%]     29.00             U
 CONVECTION <-60C [%]     20.00             U
 IR CORE SYMMETRY [K]      7.10             F
 TC SIZE          [%]    170.00             U


 Forecast Conditions:
 Predictor              Value                                         Favorable(F)/Unfavor(U) 
                           6    12    18    24    36    48    60    72  6 12 18 24 36 48 60 72
 Wind Shear [kt]        51.9  59.0  63.9  70.0  81.5  94.2  94.2  94.2 VU VU VU VU VU VU VU VU
 Ocean Heat [kJ/cm^2]    0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0  U  U  U  U  U  U  U  U
 Potential [kt]         41.9  27.7  19.0  14.9  10.1   9.8   9.8   9.8  U VU VU VU VU VU VU VU
 200mb Divg [10^6/s]   117.0  97.0  72.0  18.0  -6.0 -61.0 -61.0 -61.0  F  F  N  U  U VU VU VU
 Humidity 700-500 hPa   75.0  71.0  66.0  63.0  51.0  44.0  44.0  44.0  F  N  N  N  U VU VU VU
 T Advectio [10^6 K/s]  39.0  58.0  54.0  36.0 -57.0-155.0-155.0-155.0 VU VU VU VU VF VF VF VF


    Probabilities[%] of Rapid intensification
 Thresholds   LDA-Method  LRE-Method  CONSENSUS
 20kt / 12h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 25kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 30kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 35kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 40kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 45kt / 36h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 55kt / 36h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 55kt / 48h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 70kt / 48h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 65kt / 72h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
Decapatation Guidance NOT VALID
Thermodyanmic Conditions Unfavorable for Intense Typhoons