Rapid Intensification Guidance

 WP092021 210729 12UTC
 Storm Located at           :     37.20    117.20
 Guidance run with Vmax [kt]:    25.


 Initial Conditions: 
 Predictor                Value    Favorable(F)/Unfavorable(U) 
 INTENSITY (VMAX) [kt]    25.00             F
 12-H DELTA VMAX  [kt]     0.00             N
 CORE SIZE        [km]    11.00             F
 CONVECTION <-50C [%]      0.00            VU
 CONVECTION <-60C [%]      0.00             U
 IR CORE SYMMETRY [K]      2.70             F
 TC SIZE          [%]    131.00             U


 Forecast Conditions:
 Predictor              Value                                         Favorable(F)/Unfavor(U) 
                           6    12    18    24    36    48    60    72  6 12 18 24 36 48 60 72
 Wind Shear [kt]        29.8  36.1  37.8  39.2  44.4  55.4  68.5  68.8  N  U  U  U VU VU VU VU
 Ocean Heat [kJ/cm^2]    0.0   0.0   7.0   5.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0  U  U  U  U  U  U  U  U
 Potential [kt]         74.3  85.8 104.4 109.8  80.4  65.7  33.9  28.7  U  N  N  N  N  U VU VU
 200mb Divg [10^6/s]     4.0  56.0  17.0  13.0  51.0   8.0  15.0  39.0  U  N  U  U  N  U  U  N
 Humidity 700-500 hPa   59.0  56.0  53.0  51.0  57.0  70.0  68.0  69.0  U  U  U  U  U  N  N  N
 T Advectio [10^6 K/s]  11.0  -3.0   8.0   5.0  25.0   9.0  17.0   2.0  U  N  U  N VU  U  U  N


    Probabilities[%] of Rapid intensification
 Thresholds   LDA-Method  LRE-Method  CONSENSUS
 20kt / 12h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 25kt / 24h        0.0%        0.1%        0.0%
 30kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 35kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 40kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 45kt / 36h        0.0%        0.1%        0.1%
 55kt / 36h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 55kt / 48h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 70kt / 48h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 65kt / 72h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
Decapatation Guidance NOT VALID
Thermodyanmic Conditions Unfavorable for Intense Typhoons