Rapid Intensification Guidance

 WP112021 210725 06UTC
 Storm Located at           :     31.20    150.50
 Guidance run with Vmax [kt]:    35.


 Initial Conditions: 
 Predictor                Value    Favorable(F)/Unfavorable(U) 
 INTENSITY (VMAX) [kt]    35.00             F
 12-H DELTA VMAX  [kt]     0.00             N
 CORE SIZE        [km]     4.20             F
 CONVECTION <-50C [%]     18.00             U
 CONVECTION <-60C [%]      0.00             U
 IR CORE SYMMETRY [K]      6.10             F
 TC SIZE          [%]    127.00             U


 Forecast Conditions:
 Predictor              Value                                         Favorable(F)/Unfavor(U) 
                           6    12    18    24    36    48    60    72  6 12 18 24 36 48 60 72
 Wind Shear [kt]        44.0  44.1  44.5  38.0  27.7  15.8  22.0  18.6 VU VU VU  U  N  F  N  N
 Ocean Heat [kJ/cm^2]    7.0   6.0   0.0   2.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0  U  U  U  U  U  U  U  U
 Potential [kt]        105.5 105.5  94.4  92.7  45.8  31.7  38.4  77.2  N  N  N  N  U VU  U  U
 200mb Divg [10^6/s]    63.0  75.0  60.0  85.0  33.0  43.0 -16.0  23.0  N  N  N  F  N  N  U  U
 Humidity 700-500 hPa   65.0  68.0  68.0  69.0  59.0  41.0  47.0  55.0  N  N  N  N  U VU VU  U
 T Advectio [10^6 K/s] 107.0 102.0  46.0 -32.0  -2.0 -13.0 -21.0  -7.0 VU VU VU VF  N VF VF  F


    Probabilities[%] of Rapid intensification
 Thresholds   LDA-Method  LRE-Method  CONSENSUS
 20kt / 12h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 25kt / 24h        0.0%        0.2%        0.1%
 30kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 35kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 40kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 45kt / 36h        0.0%        0.2%        0.1%
 55kt / 36h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 55kt / 48h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 70kt / 48h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 65kt / 72h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
Decapatation Guidance NOT VALID
Thermodyanmic Conditions Unfavorable for Intense Typhoons