Rapid Intensification Guidance

 SH042022 220104 12UTC
 Storm Located at           :    -26.00    156.70
 Guidance run with Vmax [kt]:    30.


 Initial Conditions: 
 Predictor                Value    Favorable(F)/Unfavorable(U) 
 INTENSITY (VMAX) [kt]    30.00             F
 12-H DELTA VMAX  [kt]     5.00             N
 CORE SIZE        [km]     9.80             F
 CONVECTION <-50C [%]      0.00            VU
 CONVECTION <-60C [%]      0.00             U
 IR CORE SYMMETRY [K]      0.40             F
 TC SIZE          [%]     75.00             F


 Forecast Conditions:
 Predictor              Value                                         Favorable(F)/Unfavor(U) 
                           6    12    18    24    36    48    60    72  6 12 18 24 36 48 60 72
 Wind Shear [kt]        56.8  46.6  44.3  47.7  42.5  44.1  38.2  38.2 VU VU VU VU VU VU  U  U
 Ocean Heat [kJ/cm^2]    0.0   2.0   3.0   5.0   9.0   0.0  41.0   0.0  U  U  U  U  U  U  N  U
 Potential [kt]         83.6  86.5  91.1  94.3  97.7  89.6  96.0  96.0  N  N  N  N  N  N  N  N
 200mb Divg [10^6/s]    -9.0   4.0 -12.0 -20.0  28.0  31.0  23.0  23.0  U  U  U VU  U  N  U  U
 Humidity 700-500 hPa   43.0  44.0  42.0  41.0  38.0  41.0  41.0  41.0 VU VU VU VU VU VU VU VU
 T Advectio [10^6 K/s]   1.0   0.0   0.0   2.0   1.0   5.0   6.0   6.0  N  N  N  N  N  N  N  N


    Probabilities[%] of Rapid intensification
 Thresholds   LDA-Method  LRE-Method  CONSENSUS
 20kt / 12h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 25kt / 24h        0.2%        0.0%        0.1%
 30kt / 24h        0.2%        0.0%        0.1%
 35kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 40kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 45kt / 36h        0.0%        0.1%        0.0%
 55kt / 36h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 55kt / 48h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 70kt / 48h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 65kt / 72h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
Decapatation Guidance NOT VALID
Thermodyanmic Conditions Unfavorable for Intense Typhoons