Rapid Intensification Guidance

 SH212022 220324 18UTC
 Storm Located at           :    -23.70    106.90
 Guidance run with Vmax [kt]:    30.


 Initial Conditions: 
 Predictor                Value    Favorable(F)/Unfavorable(U) 
 INTENSITY (VMAX) [kt]    30.00             F
 12-H DELTA VMAX  [kt]     0.00             N
 CORE SIZE        [km]    11.80             F
 CONVECTION <-50C [%]     21.00             U
 CONVECTION <-60C [%]     19.00             U
 IR CORE SYMMETRY [K]      2.60             F
 TC SIZE          [%]    115.00             N


 Forecast Conditions:
 Predictor              Value                                         Favorable(F)/Unfavor(U) 
                           6    12    18    24    36    48    60    72  6 12 18 24 36 48 60 72
 Wind Shear [kt]        65.9  59.2  50.0  39.5  49.9  58.9  53.5  46.9 VU VU VU  U VU VU VU VU
 Ocean Heat [kJ/cm^2]    0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0  U  U  U  U  U  U  U  U
 Potential [kt]         69.3  65.9  60.7  55.0  59.7  78.0  83.6  80.8  U  U  U  U  U  N  N  N
 200mb Divg [10^6/s]   125.0  96.0  65.0  70.0  95.0  -3.0  23.0  30.0  F  F  N  N  F  U  U  N
 Humidity 700-500 hPa   63.0  62.0  64.0  59.0  48.0  51.0  47.0  41.0  N  N  N  U  U  U VU VU
 T Advectio [10^6 K/s]  -5.0  -9.0   2.0   5.0   9.0   3.0  -3.0 -29.0  F  F  N  N  U  N  N VF


    Probabilities[%] of Rapid intensification
 Thresholds   LDA-Method  LRE-Method  CONSENSUS
 20kt / 12h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 25kt / 24h        0.2%        0.0%        0.1%
 30kt / 24h        0.2%        0.0%        0.1%
 35kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 40kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 45kt / 36h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 55kt / 36h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 55kt / 48h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 70kt / 48h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 65kt / 72h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
Decapatation Guidance NOT VALID
Thermodyanmic Conditions Unfavorable for Intense Typhoons