Rapid Intensification Guidance

 SH212022 220325 00UTC
 Storm Located at           :    -24.90    107.10
 Guidance run with Vmax [kt]:    30.


 Initial Conditions: 
 Predictor                Value    Favorable(F)/Unfavorable(U) 
 INTENSITY (VMAX) [kt]    30.00             F
 12-H DELTA VMAX  [kt]     0.00             N
 CORE SIZE        [km]    11.80             F
 CONVECTION <-50C [%]     16.00             U
 CONVECTION <-60C [%]     11.00             U
 IR CORE SYMMETRY [K]      2.50             F
 TC SIZE          [%]    113.00             N


 Forecast Conditions:
 Predictor              Value                                         Favorable(F)/Unfavor(U) 
                           6    12    18    24    36    48    60    72  6 12 18 24 36 48 60 72
 Wind Shear [kt]        56.0  49.4  38.9  33.6  45.4  46.2  43.2  36.3 VU VU  U  U VU VU VU  U
 Ocean Heat [kJ/cm^2]    0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0  U  U  U  U  U  U  U  U
 Potential [kt]         69.3  65.9  61.7  60.7  72.9  86.5  91.1  94.3  U  U  U  U  U  N  N  N
 200mb Divg [10^6/s]   110.0  98.0  66.0 109.0  31.0  10.0  24.0   6.0  F  F  N  F  N  U  U  U
 Humidity 700-500 hPa   57.0  58.0  54.0  44.0  37.0  35.0  40.0  44.0  U  U  U VU VU VU VU VU
 T Advectio [10^6 K/s] -13.0  -3.0   2.0   6.0  15.0   4.0 -16.0 -19.0 VF  N  N  N  U  N VF VF


    Probabilities[%] of Rapid intensification
 Thresholds   LDA-Method  LRE-Method  CONSENSUS
 20kt / 12h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 25kt / 24h        0.2%        0.0%        0.1%
 30kt / 24h        0.2%        0.0%        0.1%
 35kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 40kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 45kt / 36h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 55kt / 36h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 55kt / 48h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 70kt / 48h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 65kt / 72h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
Decapatation Guidance NOT VALID
Thermodyanmic Conditions Unfavorable for Intense Typhoons