Rapid Intensification Guidance

 SH212022 220326 00UTC
 Storm Located at           :    -30.00    108.20
 Guidance run with Vmax [kt]:    30.


 Initial Conditions: 
 Predictor                Value    Favorable(F)/Unfavorable(U) 
 INTENSITY (VMAX) [kt]    30.00             F
 12-H DELTA VMAX  [kt]     5.00             N
 CORE SIZE        [km]    11.40             F
 CONVECTION <-50C [%]      0.00            VU
 CONVECTION <-60C [%]      0.00             U
 IR CORE SYMMETRY [K]      1.70             F
 TC SIZE          [%]    115.00             N


 Forecast Conditions:
 Predictor              Value                                         Favorable(F)/Unfavor(U) 
                           6    12    18    24    36    48    60    72  6 12 18 24 36 48 60 72
 Wind Shear [kt]        36.5  46.8  52.1  49.8  47.0  40.3  46.7  54.8  U VU VU VU VU  U VU VU
 Ocean Heat [kJ/cm^2]    0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0  U  U  U  U  U  U  U  U
 Potential [kt]         51.6  55.9  61.7  67.0  69.3  69.3  68.2  68.2  U  U  U  U  U  U  U  U
 200mb Divg [10^6/s]    68.0  17.0 -28.0 -41.0 -27.0   0.0   0.0  -4.0  N  U VU VU VU  U  U  U
 Humidity 700-500 hPa   38.0  32.0  30.0  27.0  30.0  32.0  31.0  37.0 VU VU VU VU VU VU VU VU
 T Advectio [10^6 K/s]  16.0  27.0  16.0  11.0   1.0  -8.0 -13.0 -11.0  U VU  U  U  N  F VF  F


    Probabilities[%] of Rapid intensification
 Thresholds   LDA-Method  LRE-Method  CONSENSUS
 20kt / 12h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 25kt / 24h        0.2%        0.0%        0.1%
 30kt / 24h        0.2%        0.0%        0.1%
 35kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 40kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 45kt / 36h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 55kt / 36h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 55kt / 48h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 70kt / 48h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 65kt / 72h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
Decapatation Guidance NOT VALID
Thermodyanmic Conditions Unfavorable for Intense Typhoons