Rapid Intensification Guidance

 SH212022 220326 06UTC
 Storm Located at           :    -28.40    108.90
 Guidance run with Vmax [kt]:    35.


 Initial Conditions: 
 Predictor                Value    Favorable(F)/Unfavorable(U) 
 INTENSITY (VMAX) [kt]    35.00             F
 12-H DELTA VMAX  [kt]   -10.00             U
 CORE SIZE        [km]     8.60             F
 CONVECTION <-50C [%]      0.00            VU
 CONVECTION <-60C [%]      0.00             U
 IR CORE SYMMETRY [K]      0.30             F
 TC SIZE          [%]     92.00             N


 Forecast Conditions:
 Predictor              Value                                         Favorable(F)/Unfavor(U) 
                           6    12    18    24    36    48    60    72  6 12 18 24 36 48 60 72
 Wind Shear [kt]        49.6  49.0  47.8  45.0  41.3  35.3  48.4  57.4 VU VU VU VU VU  U VU VU
 Ocean Heat [kJ/cm^2]    0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0  U  U  U  U  U  U  U  U
 Potential [kt]         55.7  63.2  64.3  69.2  70.4  67.9  69.2  69.2  U  U  U  U  U  U  U  U
 200mb Divg [10^6/s]    42.0 -44.0 -21.0  18.0 -45.0 -17.0  11.0  18.0  N VU VU  U VU  U  U  U
 Humidity 700-500 hPa   35.0  32.0  33.0  35.0  38.0  40.0  43.0  46.0 VU VU VU VU VU VU VU VU
 T Advectio [10^6 K/s]  16.0  11.0  10.0   1.0  -4.0  -9.0 -13.0 -18.0  U  U  U  N  F  F VF VF


    Probabilities[%] of Rapid intensification
 Thresholds   LDA-Method  LRE-Method  CONSENSUS
 20kt / 12h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 25kt / 24h        0.2%        0.0%        0.1%
 30kt / 24h        0.2%        0.0%        0.1%
 35kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 40kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 45kt / 36h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 55kt / 36h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 55kt / 48h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 70kt / 48h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 65kt / 72h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
Decapatation Guidance NOT VALID
Thermodyanmic Conditions Unfavorable for Intense Typhoons