Rapid Intensification Guidance

 WP032023 230612 06UTC
 Storm Located at           :     29.60    138.50
 Guidance run with Vmax [kt]:    45.


 Initial Conditions: 
 Predictor                Value    Favorable(F)/Unfavorable(U) 
 INTENSITY (VMAX) [kt]    45.00             N
 12-H DELTA VMAX  [kt]   -15.00             U
 CORE SIZE        [km]     3.00             F
 CONVECTION <-50C [%]     16.00             U
 CONVECTION <-60C [%]      5.00             U
 IR CORE SYMMETRY [K]      6.10             F
 TC SIZE          [%]    115.00             N


 Forecast Conditions:
 Predictor              Value                                         Favorable(F)/Unfavor(U) 
                           6    12    18    24    36    48    60    72  6 12 18 24 36 48 60 72
 Wind Shear [kt]        41.1  43.6  43.7  48.9  60.1  93.7 120.7 104.6 VU VU VU VU VU VU VU VU
 Ocean Heat [kJ/cm^2]    0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0  U  U  U  U  U  U  U  U
 Potential [kt]         59.2  40.9  35.8  25.2  18.7  13.9  10.0   7.6  U  U  U VU VU VU VU VU
 200mb Divg [10^6/s]    46.0  26.0  55.0  26.0  20.0  47.0  44.0  20.0  N  U  N  U  U  N  N  U
 Humidity 700-500 hPa   78.0  77.0  75.0  68.0  69.0  66.0  57.0  46.0  F  F  F  N  N  N  U VU
 T Advectio [10^6 K/s]  53.0  31.0   3.0  13.0  -2.0  46.0  72.0  14.0 VU VU  N  U  N VU VU  U


    Probabilities[%] of Rapid intensification
 Thresholds   LDA-Method  LRE-Method  CONSENSUS
 20kt / 12h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 25kt / 24h        0.2%        0.0%        0.1%
 30kt / 24h        0.2%        0.0%        0.1%
 35kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 40kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 45kt / 36h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 55kt / 36h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 55kt / 48h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 70kt / 48h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 65kt / 72h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
Decapatation Guidance NOT VALID
Thermodyanmic Conditions Unfavorable for Intense Typhoons
 Convective Decapatation Guidance

 For SSTs greater than 27.5C

 Current sst along the future track = 23.54

 WP032023 230612 06UTC
 Storm Located at           :     29.60    138.50
 Guidance run with Vmax [kt]:    45.