Rapid Intensification Guidance

 WP052023 230728 06UTC
 Storm Located at           :     25.70    118.40
 Guidance run with Vmax [kt]:    75.


 Initial Conditions: 
 Predictor                Value    Favorable(F)/Unfavorable(U) 
 INTENSITY (VMAX) [kt]    75.00             N
 12-H DELTA VMAX  [kt]   -25.00             U
 CORE SIZE        [km]     4.20             F
 CONVECTION <-50C [%]     77.00             N
 CONVECTION <-60C [%]     56.00             N
 IR CORE SYMMETRY [K]     10.00             F
 TC SIZE          [%]    130.00             U


 Forecast Conditions:
 Predictor              Value                                         Favorable(F)/Unfavor(U) 
                           6    12    18    24    36    48    60    72  6 12 18 24 36 48 60 72
 Wind Shear [kt]        17.4  19.2  16.0  17.1  15.2  20.5  20.5  20.5  F  N  F  F  F  N  N  N
 Ocean Heat [kJ/cm^2]    0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0  U  U  U  U  U  U  U  U
 Potential [kt]         -0.3   5.0  23.2   4.2 -16.5 -21.8 -21.8 -21.8 VU VU VU VU VU VU VU VU
 200mb Divg [10^6/s]    63.0  40.0  33.0 112.0  39.0  41.0  41.0  41.0  N  N  N  F  N  N  N  N
 Humidity 700-500 hPa   75.0  77.0  81.0  81.0  77.0  64.0  64.0  64.0  F  F  F  F  F  N  N  N
 T Advectio [10^6 K/s]  14.0  38.0  20.0  11.0   2.0   6.0   6.0   6.0  U VU VU  U  N  N  N  N


    Probabilities[%] of Rapid intensification
 Thresholds   LDA-Method  LRE-Method  CONSENSUS
 20kt / 12h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 25kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 30kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 35kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 40kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 45kt / 36h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 55kt / 36h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 55kt / 48h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 70kt / 48h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 65kt / 72h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
Decapatation Guidance NOT VALID
Thermodyanmic Conditions Unfavorable for Intense Typhoons
 Convective Decapatation Guidance

 For SSTs greater than 27.5C

 Current sst along the future track = 23.34

 WP052023 230728 06UTC
 Storm Located at           :     25.70    118.40
 Guidance run with Vmax [kt]:    75.