Rapid Intensification Guidance

 EP072024 240825 00UTC
 Storm Located at           :     17.70    131.40
 Guidance run with Vmax [kt]:   110.


 Initial Conditions: 
 Predictor                Value    Favorable(F)/Unfavorable(U) 
 INTENSITY (VMAX) [kt]   110.00             U
 12-H DELTA VMAX  [kt]    30.00             F
 CORE SIZE        [km]     5.80             F
 CONVECTION <-50C [%]     78.00             N
 CONVECTION <-60C [%]     45.00             N
 IR CORE SYMMETRY [K]      9.80             F
 TC SIZE          [%]     70.00             F


 Forecast Conditions:
 Predictor              Value                                         Favorable(F)/Unfavor(U) 
                           6    12    18    24    36    48    60    72  6 12 18 24 36 48 60 72
 Wind Shear [kt]        11.7  13.7  15.4  17.0  21.6  22.1  22.2  22.7  F  F  F  F  N  N  N  N
 Ocean Heat [kJ/cm^2]    1.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   2.0   0.0   0.0   0.0  U  U  U  U  U  U  U  U
 Potential [kt]          9.6   9.6  -0.6  -0.6  -0.6  -2.0  -2.0  -4.6 VU VU VU VU VU VU VU VU
 200mb Divg [10^6/s]    -3.0 -26.0 -43.0 -29.0 -41.0 -23.0 -35.0 -29.0  U VU VU VU VU VU VU VU
 Humidity 700-500 hPa   47.0  46.0  43.0  43.0  40.0  39.0  40.0  38.0 VU VU VU VU VU VU VU VU
 T Advectio [10^6 K/s]   4.0   3.0   2.0   3.0   4.0   1.0   3.0   3.0  N  N  N  N  N  N  N  N


    Probabilities[%] of Rapid intensification
 Thresholds   LDA-Method  LRE-Method  CONSENSUS
 20kt / 12h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 25kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 30kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 35kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 40kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 45kt / 36h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 55kt / 36h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 55kt / 48h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 70kt / 48h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 65kt / 72h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
Decapatation Guidance NOT VALID
Thermodyanmic Conditions Unfavorable for Intense Typhoons
 Convective Decapatation Guidance

 For SSTs greater than 27.5C

 Current sst along the future track = 25.82

 EP072024 240825 00UTC
 Storm Located at           :     17.70    131.40
 Guidance run with Vmax [kt]:   110.