Rapid Intensification Guidance

 EP072024 240825 18UTC
 Storm Located at           :     17.90    133.90
 Guidance run with Vmax [kt]:   100.


 Initial Conditions: 
 Predictor                Value    Favorable(F)/Unfavorable(U) 
 INTENSITY (VMAX) [kt]   100.00             U
 12-H DELTA VMAX  [kt]   -15.00             U
 CORE SIZE        [km]     2.60             F
 CONVECTION <-50C [%]     23.00             U
 CONVECTION <-60C [%]     11.00             U
 IR CORE SYMMETRY [K]      5.80             F
 TC SIZE          [%]     38.00             F


 Forecast Conditions:
 Predictor              Value                                         Favorable(F)/Unfavor(U) 
                           6    12    18    24    36    48    60    72  6 12 18 24 36 48 60 72
 Wind Shear [kt]        18.3  19.8  20.3  21.4  23.8  23.9  24.6  23.2  F  N  N  N  N  N  N  N
 Ocean Heat [kJ/cm^2]    0.0   1.0   2.0   1.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0  U  U  U  U  U  U  U  U
 Potential [kt]          9.4   9.4   9.4   8.0   8.0   8.0   9.4   8.0 VU VU VU VU VU VU VU VU
 200mb Divg [10^6/s]   -24.0 -40.0 -45.0 -23.0 -33.0 -52.0   0.0   2.0 VU VU VU VU VU VU  U  U
 Humidity 700-500 hPa   42.0  42.0  42.0  40.0  39.0  39.0  39.0  39.0 VU VU VU VU VU VU VU VU
 T Advectio [10^6 K/s]   2.0   5.0   2.0   1.0   7.0   6.0   6.0   7.0  N  N  N  N  N  N  N  N


    Probabilities[%] of Rapid intensification
 Thresholds   LDA-Method  LRE-Method  CONSENSUS
 20kt / 12h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 25kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 30kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 35kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 40kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 45kt / 36h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 55kt / 36h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 55kt / 48h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 70kt / 48h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 65kt / 72h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
Decapatation Guidance NOT VALID
Thermodyanmic Conditions Unfavorable for Intense Typhoons
 Convective Decapatation Guidance

 For SSTs greater than 27.5C

 Current sst along the future track = 25.50

 EP072024 240825 18UTC
 Storm Located at           :     17.90    133.90
 Guidance run with Vmax [kt]:   100.