Rapid Intensification Guidance

 EP072024 240826 06UTC
 Storm Located at           :     18.10    135.50
 Guidance run with Vmax [kt]:    85.


 Initial Conditions: 
 Predictor                Value    Favorable(F)/Unfavorable(U) 
 INTENSITY (VMAX) [kt]    85.00             N
 12-H DELTA VMAX  [kt]   -15.00             U
 CORE SIZE        [km]     5.40             F
 CONVECTION <-50C [%]     31.00             U
 CONVECTION <-60C [%]      7.00             U
 IR CORE SYMMETRY [K]      6.20             F
 TC SIZE          [%]     46.00             F


 Forecast Conditions:
 Predictor              Value                                         Favorable(F)/Unfavor(U) 
                           6    12    18    24    36    48    60    72  6 12 18 24 36 48 60 72
 Wind Shear [kt]        22.6  23.5  24.1  26.0  26.5  22.7  25.5  25.9  N  N  N  N  N  N  N  N
 Ocean Heat [kJ/cm^2]    2.0   1.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0  U  U  U  U  U  U  U  U
 Potential [kt]         24.4  23.0  23.0  23.0  23.0  20.4  23.0  25.8 VU VU VU VU VU VU VU VU
 200mb Divg [10^6/s]   -33.0 -23.0 -37.0 -47.0 -15.0  38.0   1.0 -19.0 VU VU VU VU  U  N  U  U
 Humidity 700-500 hPa   42.0  41.0  41.0  40.0  40.0  41.0  43.0  46.0 VU VU VU VU VU VU VU VU
 T Advectio [10^6 K/s]   3.0   4.0   6.0   7.0   7.0   6.0   4.0   6.0  N  N  N  N  N  N  N  N


    Probabilities[%] of Rapid intensification
 Thresholds   LDA-Method  LRE-Method  CONSENSUS
 20kt / 12h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 25kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 30kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 35kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 40kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 45kt / 36h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 55kt / 36h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 55kt / 48h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 70kt / 48h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 65kt / 72h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
Decapatation Guidance NOT VALID
Thermodyanmic Conditions Unfavorable for Intense Typhoons
 Convective Decapatation Guidance

 For SSTs greater than 27.5C

 Current sst along the future track = 25.34

 EP072024 240826 06UTC
 Storm Located at           :     18.10    135.50
 Guidance run with Vmax [kt]:    85.