Rapid Intensification Guidance

 EP072024 240827 00UTC
 Storm Located at           :     18.40    137.80
 Guidance run with Vmax [kt]:    95.


 Initial Conditions: 
 Predictor                Value    Favorable(F)/Unfavorable(U) 
 INTENSITY (VMAX) [kt]    95.00             U
 12-H DELTA VMAX  [kt]    10.00             F
 CORE SIZE        [km]     3.40             F
 CONVECTION <-50C [%]     22.00             U
 CONVECTION <-60C [%]      8.00             U
 IR CORE SYMMETRY [K]      6.00             F
 TC SIZE          [%]     42.00             F


 Forecast Conditions:
 Predictor              Value                                         Favorable(F)/Unfavor(U) 
                           6    12    18    24    36    48    60    72  6 12 18 24 36 48 60 72
 Wind Shear [kt]        28.6  29.5  26.1  22.9  23.8  25.3  27.4  36.8  N  N  N  N  N  N  N  U
 Ocean Heat [kJ/cm^2]    0.0   1.0   1.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0  U  U  U  U  U  U  U  U
 Potential [kt]         13.0  13.0  13.0  14.4  13.0  15.8  15.8  20.0 VU VU VU VU VU VU VU VU
 200mb Divg [10^6/s]   -44.0 -22.0 -14.0   5.0   0.0  16.0   8.0  -3.0 VU VU  U  U  U  U  U  U
 Humidity 700-500 hPa   38.0  40.0  40.0  40.0  44.0  46.0  46.0  44.0 VU VU VU VU VU VU VU VU
 T Advectio [10^6 K/s]  14.0   7.0   6.0   6.0   6.0   4.0   6.0   5.0  U  N  N  N  N  N  N  N


    Probabilities[%] of Rapid intensification
 Thresholds   LDA-Method  LRE-Method  CONSENSUS
 20kt / 12h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 25kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 30kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 35kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 40kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 45kt / 36h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 55kt / 36h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 55kt / 48h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 70kt / 48h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 65kt / 72h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
Decapatation Guidance NOT VALID
Thermodyanmic Conditions Unfavorable for Intense Typhoons
 Convective Decapatation Guidance

 For SSTs greater than 27.5C

 Current sst along the future track = 25.32

 EP072024 240827 00UTC
 Storm Located at           :     18.40    137.80
 Guidance run with Vmax [kt]:    95.