Rapid Intensification Guidance

 WP012024 240529 06UTC
 Storm Located at           :     25.70    132.40
 Guidance run with Vmax [kt]:    65.


 Initial Conditions: 
 Predictor                Value    Favorable(F)/Unfavorable(U) 
 INTENSITY (VMAX) [kt]    65.00             N
 12-H DELTA VMAX  [kt]   -10.00             U
 CORE SIZE        [km]     2.20             F
 CONVECTION <-50C [%]     50.00             N
 CONVECTION <-60C [%]      8.00             U
 IR CORE SYMMETRY [K]      8.40             F
 TC SIZE          [%]    111.00             N


 Forecast Conditions:
 Predictor              Value                                         Favorable(F)/Unfavor(U) 
                           6    12    18    24    36    48    60    72  6 12 18 24 36 48 60 72
 Wind Shear [kt]        54.3  47.5  47.6  52.8  56.8  74.4  90.9  99.5 VU VU VU VU VU VU VU VU
 Ocean Heat [kJ/cm^2]    1.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0  U  U  U  U  U  U  U  U
 Potential [kt]         66.2  53.0  43.0  39.2  20.0   8.4 -12.1 -19.8  U  U  U  U VU VU VU VU
 200mb Divg [10^6/s]    79.0  64.0  54.0  33.0  55.0  70.0  75.0  85.0  N  N  N  N  N  N  N  F
 Humidity 700-500 hPa   49.0  51.0  52.0  52.0  64.0  69.0  69.0  57.0  U  U  U  U  N  N  N  U
 T Advectio [10^6 K/s]  19.0  12.0  27.0  35.0  20.0  37.0   6.0 -36.0 VU  U VU VU VU VU  N VF


    Probabilities[%] of Rapid intensification
 Thresholds   LDA-Method  LRE-Method  CONSENSUS
 20kt / 12h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 25kt / 24h        0.2%        0.1%        0.1%
 30kt / 24h        0.2%        0.0%        0.1%
 35kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 40kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 45kt / 36h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 55kt / 36h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 55kt / 48h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 70kt / 48h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 65kt / 72h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
Decapatation Guidance NOT VALID
Thermodyanmic Conditions Unfavorable for Intense Typhoons
 Convective Decapatation Guidance

 For SSTs greater than 27.5C

 Current sst along the future track = 26.12

 WP012024 240529 06UTC
 Storm Located at           :     25.70    132.40
 Guidance run with Vmax [kt]:    65.