Rapid Intensification Guidance

 AL032025 250707 00UTC
 Storm Located at           :     35.60     79.00
 Guidance run with Vmax [kt]:    25.


 Initial Conditions: 
 Predictor                Value    Favorable(F)/Unfavorable(U) 
 INTENSITY (VMAX) [kt]    25.00             F
 12-H DELTA VMAX  [kt]   -10.00             U
 CORE SIZE        [km]     5.00             F
 CONVECTION <-50C [%]     17.00             U
 CONVECTION <-60C [%]      9.00             U
 IR CORE SYMMETRY [K]      3.40             F
 TC SIZE          [%]    128.00             U


 Forecast Conditions:
 Predictor              Value                                         Favorable(F)/Unfavor(U) 
                           6    12    18    24    36    48    60    72  6 12 18 24 36 48 60 72
 Wind Shear [kt]        13.8  14.0  14.8  13.7  13.7  13.7  13.7  13.7  F  F  F  F  F  F  F  F
 Ocean Heat [kJ/cm^2]    2.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0  U  U  U  U  U  U  U  U
 Potential [kt]         75.5  58.3  44.0  41.2  41.2  41.2  41.2  41.2  U  U  U  U  U  U  U  U
 200mb Divg [10^6/s]   -12.0  12.0  33.0  33.0  33.0  33.0  33.0  33.0  U  U  N  N  N  N  N  N
 Humidity 700-500 hPa   57.0  60.0  65.0  63.0  63.0  63.0  63.0  63.0  U  N  N  N  N  N  N  N
 T Advectio [10^6 K/s]  -2.0  -2.0  12.0  12.0  12.0  12.0  12.0  12.0  N  N  U  U  U  U  U  U


    Probabilities[%] of Rapid intensification
 Thresholds   LDA-Method  LRE-Method  CONSENSUS
 20kt / 12h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 25kt / 24h        0.2%        0.1%        0.1%
 30kt / 24h        0.2%        0.0%        0.1%
 35kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 40kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 45kt / 36h        0.0%        0.4%        0.2%
 55kt / 36h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 55kt / 48h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 70kt / 48h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 65kt / 72h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
Decapatation Guidance NOT VALID
Thermodyanmic Conditions Unfavorable for Intense Typhoons
 Convective Decapatation Guidance

 For SSTs greater than 27.5C

 Current sst along the future track = 23.06

 AL032025 250707 00UTC
 Storm Located at           :     35.60     79.00
 Guidance run with Vmax [kt]:    25.