Rapid Intensification Guidance

 AL062025 250826 12UTC
 Storm Located at           :     37.30     55.10
 Guidance run with Vmax [kt]:    35.


 Initial Conditions: 
 Predictor                Value    Favorable(F)/Unfavorable(U) 
 INTENSITY (VMAX) [kt]    35.00             F
 12-H DELTA VMAX  [kt]   -10.00             U
 CORE SIZE        [km]    11.80             F
 CONVECTION <-50C [%]      0.00            VU
 CONVECTION <-60C [%]      0.00             U
 IR CORE SYMMETRY [K]      0.50             F
 TC SIZE          [%]    108.00             N


 Forecast Conditions:
 Predictor              Value                                         Favorable(F)/Unfavor(U) 
                           6    12    18    24    36    48    60    72  6 12 18 24 36 48 60 72
 Wind Shear [kt]        21.5  14.7  11.6  11.1  17.2  17.2  17.2  17.2  N  F  F  F  F  F  F  F
 Ocean Heat [kJ/cm^2]    8.0   7.0   9.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0  U  U  U  U  U  U  U  U
 Potential [kt]         84.6  78.6  75.8  62.0  39.7  39.7  39.7  39.7  N  N  U  U  U  U  U  U
 200mb Divg [10^6/s]    50.0  60.0  36.0   2.0   4.0   4.0   4.0   4.0  N  N  N  U  U  U  U  U
 Humidity 700-500 hPa   52.0  51.0  52.0  51.0  51.0  51.0  51.0  51.0  U  U  U  U  U  U  U  U
 T Advectio [10^6 K/s]  15.0  14.0  19.0  20.0  13.0  13.0  13.0  13.0  U  U VU VU  U  U  U  U


    Probabilities[%] of Rapid intensification
 Thresholds   LDA-Method  LRE-Method  CONSENSUS
 20kt / 12h        0.0%        0.1%        0.0%
 25kt / 24h        0.2%        0.3%        0.2%
 30kt / 24h        0.2%        0.1%        0.1%
 35kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 40kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 45kt / 36h        0.1%        0.4%        0.3%
 55kt / 36h        0.1%        0.1%        0.1%
 55kt / 48h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 70kt / 48h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 65kt / 72h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
Decapatation Guidance NOT VALID
Thermodyanmic Conditions Unfavorable for Intense Typhoons
 Convective Decapatation Guidance

 For SSTs greater than 27.5C

 Current sst along the future track = 25.60

 AL062025 250826 12UTC
 Storm Located at           :     37.30     55.10
 Guidance run with Vmax [kt]:    35.