Rapid Intensification Guidance

 AL062025 250827 00UTC
 Storm Located at           :     38.20     52.70
 Guidance run with Vmax [kt]:    35.


 Initial Conditions: 
 Predictor                Value    Favorable(F)/Unfavorable(U) 
 INTENSITY (VMAX) [kt]    35.00             F
 12-H DELTA VMAX  [kt]     0.00             N
 CORE SIZE        [km]     9.00             F
 CONVECTION <-50C [%]     28.00             U
 CONVECTION <-60C [%]     12.00             U
 IR CORE SYMMETRY [K]      4.40             F
 TC SIZE          [%]    121.00             N


 Forecast Conditions:
 Predictor              Value                                         Favorable(F)/Unfavor(U) 
                           6    12    18    24    36    48    60    72  6 12 18 24 36 48 60 72
 Wind Shear [kt]        12.4  10.6  13.8  14.7  16.8  22.8  22.8  22.8  F  F  F  F  F  N  N  N
 Ocean Heat [kJ/cm^2]   11.0   3.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0  U  U  U  U  U  U  U  U
 Potential [kt]         83.0  75.8  59.8  60.9  47.4  29.6  29.6  29.6  N  U  U  U  U VU VU VU
 200mb Divg [10^6/s]    42.0  29.0   7.0   9.0  -8.0  28.0  28.0  28.0  N  N  U  U  U  U  U  U
 Humidity 700-500 hPa   50.0  51.0  48.0  48.0  49.0  47.0  47.0  47.0  U  U  U  U  U VU VU VU
 T Advectio [10^6 K/s]  16.0  18.0  11.0  17.0  36.0  27.0  27.0  27.0  U VU  U  U VU VU VU VU


    Probabilities[%] of Rapid intensification
 Thresholds   LDA-Method  LRE-Method  CONSENSUS
 20kt / 12h        0.1%        0.4%        0.3%
 25kt / 24h        0.2%        1.0%        0.6%
 30kt / 24h        0.2%        0.4%        0.3%
 35kt / 24h        0.0%        0.2%        0.1%
 40kt / 24h        0.0%        0.1%        0.1%
 45kt / 36h        0.2%        2.3%        1.2%
 55kt / 36h        0.1%        0.7%        0.4%
 55kt / 48h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 70kt / 48h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 65kt / 72h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
Decapatation Guidance NOT VALID
Thermodyanmic Conditions Unfavorable for Intense Typhoons
 Convective Decapatation Guidance

 For SSTs greater than 27.5C

 Current sst along the future track = 25.22

 AL062025 250827 00UTC
 Storm Located at           :     38.20     52.70
 Guidance run with Vmax [kt]:    35.