Rapid Intensification Guidance

 AL132025 251031 06UTC
 Storm Located at           :     34.40     65.60
 Guidance run with Vmax [kt]:    80.


 Initial Conditions: 
 Predictor                Value    Favorable(F)/Unfavorable(U) 
 INTENSITY (VMAX) [kt]    80.00             N
 12-H DELTA VMAX  [kt]   -10.00             U
 CORE SIZE        [km]    10.60             F
 CONVECTION <-50C [%]     24.00             U
 CONVECTION <-60C [%]      3.00             U
 IR CORE SYMMETRY [K]      9.30             F
 TC SIZE          [%]    128.00             U


 Forecast Conditions:
 Predictor              Value                                         Favorable(F)/Unfavor(U) 
                           6    12    18    24    36    48    60    72  6 12 18 24 36 48 60 72
 Wind Shear [kt]        59.3  63.2  65.1  57.9  56.3  28.0  14.7  13.0 VU VU VU VU VU  N  F  F
 Ocean Heat [kJ/cm^2]    3.0   3.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0  U  U  U  U  U  U  U  U
 Potential [kt]         13.8  -3.8 -31.9 -38.7 -37.8 -39.2 -38.4 -37.7 VU VU VU VU VU VU VU VU
 200mb Divg [10^6/s]   119.0 130.0 124.0 121.0  99.0  49.0  41.0  47.0  F  F  F  F  F  N  N  N
 Humidity 700-500 hPa   42.0  38.0  38.0  47.0  60.0  71.0  74.0  69.0 VU VU VU VU  N  N  N  N
 T Advectio [10^6 K/s]  38.0  97.0 117.0 191.0  22.0 -41.0 -71.0 -65.0 VU VU VU VU VU VF VF VF


    Probabilities[%] of Rapid intensification
 Thresholds   LDA-Method  LRE-Method  CONSENSUS
 20kt / 12h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 25kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 30kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 35kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 40kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 45kt / 36h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 55kt / 36h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 55kt / 48h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 70kt / 48h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 65kt / 72h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
Decapatation Guidance NOT VALID
Thermodyanmic Conditions Unfavorable for Intense Typhoons
 Convective Decapatation Guidance

 For SSTs greater than 27.5C

 Current sst along the future track = 18.86

 AL132025 251031 06UTC
 Storm Located at           :     34.40     65.60
 Guidance run with Vmax [kt]:    80.