Rapid Intensification Guidance

 EP062025 250703 06UTC
 Storm Located at           :     19.90    110.50
 Guidance run with Vmax [kt]:    55.


 Initial Conditions: 
 Predictor                Value    Favorable(F)/Unfavorable(U) 
 INTENSITY (VMAX) [kt]    55.00             N
 12-H DELTA VMAX  [kt]   -30.00             U
 CORE SIZE        [km]    11.80             F
 CONVECTION <-50C [%]      0.00            VU
 CONVECTION <-60C [%]      0.00             U
 IR CORE SYMMETRY [K]      3.50             F
 TC SIZE          [%]     70.00             F


 Forecast Conditions:
 Predictor              Value                                         Favorable(F)/Unfavor(U) 
                           6    12    18    24    36    48    60    72  6 12 18 24 36 48 60 72
 Wind Shear [kt]        18.7  20.4  23.8  23.6  18.3  24.5  22.5  22.5  N  N  N  N  F  N  N  N
 Ocean Heat [kJ/cm^2]   28.0  20.0  13.0   8.0   6.0   1.0   0.0   0.0  U  U  U  U  U  U  U  U
 Potential [kt]         47.9  47.9  35.7  34.7  16.4  19.7  15.8  15.8  U  U  U VU VU VU VU VU
 200mb Divg [10^6/s]    -9.0  30.0  35.0   4.0  12.0  20.0 -13.0 -13.0  U  N  N  U  U  U  U  U
 Humidity 700-500 hPa   52.0  48.0  45.0  45.0  40.0  40.0  41.0  41.0  U  U VU VU VU VU VU VU
 T Advectio [10^6 K/s]  -1.0   2.0   2.0   0.0   6.0   3.0   9.0   9.0  N  N  N  N  N  N  U  U


    Probabilities[%] of Rapid intensification
 Thresholds   LDA-Method  LRE-Method  CONSENSUS
 20kt / 12h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 25kt / 24h        0.2%        0.0%        0.1%
 30kt / 24h        0.2%        0.0%        0.1%
 35kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 40kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 45kt / 36h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 55kt / 36h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 55kt / 48h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 70kt / 48h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 65kt / 72h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
Decapatation Guidance NOT VALID
Thermodyanmic Conditions Unfavorable for Intense Typhoons
 Convective Decapatation Guidance

 For SSTs greater than 27.5C

 Current sst along the future track = 24.64

 EP062025 250703 06UTC
 Storm Located at           :     19.90    110.50
 Guidance run with Vmax [kt]:    55.