Rapid Intensification Guidance

 EP072025 250802 18UTC
 Storm Located at           :     18.60    129.70
 Guidance run with Vmax [kt]:    60.


 Initial Conditions: 
 Predictor                Value    Favorable(F)/Unfavorable(U) 
 INTENSITY (VMAX) [kt]    60.00             N
 12-H DELTA VMAX  [kt]    -5.00             U
 CORE SIZE        [km]     2.20             F
 CONVECTION <-50C [%]     25.00             U
 CONVECTION <-60C [%]      9.00             U
 IR CORE SYMMETRY [K]      7.90             F
 TC SIZE          [%]     74.00             F


 Forecast Conditions:
 Predictor              Value                                         Favorable(F)/Unfavor(U) 
                           6    12    18    24    36    48    60    72  6 12 18 24 36 48 60 72
 Wind Shear [kt]        22.9  25.0  26.5  29.2  24.0  26.8  31.0  36.6  N  N  N  N  N  N  U  U
 Ocean Heat [kJ/cm^2]    0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0  U  U  U  U  U  U  U  U
 Potential [kt]         33.8  29.7  29.7  26.8  27.8  30.7  33.8  37.0 VU VU VU VU VU VU VU  U
 200mb Divg [10^6/s]    70.0  50.0  27.0  12.0  20.0  26.0   0.0  -5.0  N  N  U  U  U  U  U  U
 Humidity 700-500 hPa   66.0  61.0  58.0  55.0  48.0  44.0  41.0  41.0  N  N  U  U  U VU VU VU
 T Advectio [10^6 K/s]  12.0  10.0  -4.0  -5.0  -1.0  -2.0   1.0  -1.0  U  U  F  F  N  N  N  N


    Probabilities[%] of Rapid intensification
 Thresholds   LDA-Method  LRE-Method  CONSENSUS
 20kt / 12h        0.0%        0.1%        0.0%
 25kt / 24h        0.1%        0.1%        0.1%
 30kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 35kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 40kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 45kt / 36h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 55kt / 36h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 55kt / 48h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 70kt / 48h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 65kt / 72h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
Decapatation Guidance NOT VALID
Thermodyanmic Conditions Unfavorable for Intense Typhoons
 Convective Decapatation Guidance

 For SSTs greater than 27.5C

 Current sst along the future track = 23.96

 EP072025 250802 18UTC
 Storm Located at           :     18.60    129.70
 Guidance run with Vmax [kt]:    60.