Rapid Intensification Guidance

 EP112025 250906 00UTC
 Storm Located at           :     14.70    138.20
 Guidance run with Vmax [kt]:   115.


 Initial Conditions: 
 Predictor                Value    Favorable(F)/Unfavorable(U) 
 INTENSITY (VMAX) [kt]   115.00             U
 12-H DELTA VMAX  [kt]    15.00             F
 CORE SIZE        [km]     5.40             F
 CONVECTION <-50C [%]     62.00             N
 CONVECTION <-60C [%]     27.00             U
 IR CORE SYMMETRY [K]      9.50             F
 TC SIZE          [%]     54.00             F


 Forecast Conditions:
 Predictor              Value                                         Favorable(F)/Unfavor(U) 
                           6    12    18    24    36    48    60    72  6 12 18 24 36 48 60 72
 Wind Shear [kt]        18.9  18.7  15.3  13.0  12.5  18.2  27.1  39.6  N  N  F  F  F  F  N  U
 Ocean Heat [kJ/cm^2]    6.0   5.0   7.0  11.0   1.0   2.0   0.0   0.0  U  U  U  U  U  U  U  U
 Potential [kt]         19.8  19.8  19.8  11.0  11.0   6.1   3.0   1.5 VU VU VU VU VU VU VU VU
 200mb Divg [10^6/s]    13.0  -1.0   0.0  10.0  17.0  35.0  25.0  27.0  U  U  U  U  U  N  U  U
 Humidity 700-500 hPa   52.0  53.0  52.0  50.0  47.0  42.0  41.0  38.0  U  U  U  U VU VU VU VU
 T Advectio [10^6 K/s]  -2.0  -1.0   1.0   1.0   3.0   7.0   9.0  20.0  N  N  N  N  N  N  U VU


    Probabilities[%] of Rapid intensification
 Thresholds   LDA-Method  LRE-Method  CONSENSUS
 20kt / 12h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 25kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 30kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 35kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 40kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 45kt / 36h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 55kt / 36h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 55kt / 48h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 70kt / 48h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 65kt / 72h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
Decapatation Guidance NOT VALID
Thermodyanmic Conditions Unfavorable for Intense Typhoons
 Convective Decapatation Guidance

 For SSTs greater than 27.5C

 Current sst along the future track = 27.00

 EP112025 250906 00UTC
 Storm Located at           :     14.70    138.20
 Guidance run with Vmax [kt]:   115.