Rapid Intensification Guidance

 EP112025 250906 12UTC
 Storm Located at           :     15.30    140.10
 Guidance run with Vmax [kt]:   115.


 Initial Conditions: 
 Predictor                Value    Favorable(F)/Unfavorable(U) 
 INTENSITY (VMAX) [kt]   115.00             U
 12-H DELTA VMAX  [kt]     0.00             N
 CORE SIZE        [km]     3.40             F
 CONVECTION <-50C [%]     24.00             U
 CONVECTION <-60C [%]      9.00             U
 IR CORE SYMMETRY [K]      8.10             F
 TC SIZE          [%]     44.00             F


 Forecast Conditions:
 Predictor              Value                                         Favorable(F)/Unfavor(U) 
                           6    12    18    24    36    48    60    72  6 12 18 24 36 48 60 72
 Wind Shear [kt]        14.5  11.5  11.6  10.7  18.4  31.1  39.3  47.7  F  F  F  F  F  U  U VU
 Ocean Heat [kJ/cm^2]    7.0  11.0   6.0   1.0   2.0   0.0   0.0   4.0  U  U  U  U  U  U  U  U
 Potential [kt]         19.8  11.0  11.0  11.0   0.0  -1.4   1.5   3.0 VU VU VU VU VU VU VU VU
 200mb Divg [10^6/s]    11.0  24.0   4.0  13.0  39.0  33.0  21.0  36.0  U  U  U  U  N  N  U  N
 Humidity 700-500 hPa   50.0  48.0  45.0  45.0  42.0  39.0  36.0  35.0  U  U VU VU VU VU VU VU
 T Advectio [10^6 K/s]   0.0   0.0   2.0   3.0   7.0  11.0  16.0  14.0  N  N  N  N  N  U  U  U


    Probabilities[%] of Rapid intensification
 Thresholds   LDA-Method  LRE-Method  CONSENSUS
 20kt / 12h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 25kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 30kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 35kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 40kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 45kt / 36h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 55kt / 36h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 55kt / 48h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 70kt / 48h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 65kt / 72h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
Decapatation Guidance NOT VALID
Thermodyanmic Conditions Unfavorable for Intense Typhoons
 Convective Decapatation Guidance

 For SSTs greater than 27.5C

 Current sst along the future track = 26.70

 EP112025 250906 12UTC
 Storm Located at           :     15.30    140.10
 Guidance run with Vmax [kt]:   115.