Rapid Intensification Guidance

 EP112025 250907 00UTC
 Storm Located at           :     16.30    141.90
 Guidance run with Vmax [kt]:   115.


 Initial Conditions: 
 Predictor                Value    Favorable(F)/Unfavorable(U) 
 INTENSITY (VMAX) [kt]   115.00             U
 12-H DELTA VMAX  [kt]     0.00             N
 CORE SIZE        [km]     4.60             F
 CONVECTION <-50C [%]     45.00             N
 CONVECTION <-60C [%]     18.00             U
 IR CORE SYMMETRY [K]      9.80             F
 TC SIZE          [%]     50.00             F


 Forecast Conditions:
 Predictor              Value                                         Favorable(F)/Unfavor(U) 
                           6    12    18    24    36    48    60    72  6 12 18 24 36 48 60 72
 Wind Shear [kt]        12.8  14.5  16.0  19.4  30.9  44.0  47.9  52.3  F  F  F  N  U VU VU VU
 Ocean Heat [kJ/cm^2]    5.0   1.0   1.0   2.0   0.0   0.0   5.0   4.0  U  U  U  U  U  U  U  U
 Potential [kt]         11.0   4.6   4.6   0.0  -1.4   1.5   3.0   4.6 VU VU VU VU VU VU VU VU
 200mb Divg [10^6/s]     8.0   0.0  23.0  24.0  22.0  15.0  47.0  40.0  U  U  U  U  U  U  N  N
 Humidity 700-500 hPa   44.0  44.0  41.0  39.0  38.0  34.0  34.0  36.0 VU VU VU VU VU VU VU VU
 T Advectio [10^6 K/s]   0.0   2.0   6.0   8.0  12.0  13.0  10.0  -1.0  N  N  N  U  U  U  U  N


    Probabilities[%] of Rapid intensification
 Thresholds   LDA-Method  LRE-Method  CONSENSUS
 20kt / 12h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 25kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 30kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 35kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 40kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 45kt / 36h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 55kt / 36h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 55kt / 48h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 70kt / 48h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 65kt / 72h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
Decapatation Guidance NOT VALID
Thermodyanmic Conditions Unfavorable for Intense Typhoons
 Convective Decapatation Guidance

 For SSTs greater than 27.5C

 Current sst along the future track = 26.20

 EP112025 250907 00UTC
 Storm Located at           :     16.30    141.90
 Guidance run with Vmax [kt]:   115.