Rapid Intensification Guidance

 EP112025 250907 18UTC
 Storm Located at           :     17.80    145.00
 Guidance run with Vmax [kt]:    95.


 Initial Conditions: 
 Predictor                Value    Favorable(F)/Unfavorable(U) 
 INTENSITY (VMAX) [kt]    95.00             U
 12-H DELTA VMAX  [kt]   -20.00             U
 CORE SIZE        [km]     6.60             F
 CONVECTION <-50C [%]     16.00             U
 CONVECTION <-60C [%]      6.00             U
 IR CORE SYMMETRY [K]      8.10             F
 TC SIZE          [%]     44.00             F


 Forecast Conditions:
 Predictor              Value                                         Favorable(F)/Unfavor(U) 
                           6    12    18    24    36    48    60    72  6 12 18 24 36 48 60 72
 Wind Shear [kt]        20.2  28.5  33.4  38.4  45.3  46.7  42.8  29.0  N  N  U  U VU VU VU  N
 Ocean Heat [kJ/cm^2]    2.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   2.0   5.0   4.0  15.0  U  U  U  U  U  U  U  U
 Potential [kt]         21.5  23.0  20.0  20.0  21.5  24.6  26.1  31.0 VU VU VU VU VU VU VU VU
 200mb Divg [10^6/s]    43.0  42.0  21.0  -1.0  12.0  22.0   4.0   0.0  N  N  U  U  U  U  U  U
 Humidity 700-500 hPa   40.0  39.0  38.0  35.0  37.0  40.0  45.0  50.0 VU VU VU VU VU VU VU  U
 T Advectio [10^6 K/s]  13.0  15.0  17.0  14.0  12.0   7.0   1.0   3.0  U  U  U  U  U  N  N  N


    Probabilities[%] of Rapid intensification
 Thresholds   LDA-Method  LRE-Method  CONSENSUS
 20kt / 12h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 25kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 30kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 35kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 40kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 45kt / 36h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 55kt / 36h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 55kt / 48h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 70kt / 48h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 65kt / 72h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
Decapatation Guidance NOT VALID
Thermodyanmic Conditions Unfavorable for Intense Typhoons
 Convective Decapatation Guidance

 For SSTs greater than 27.5C

 Current sst along the future track = 25.92

 EP112025 250907 18UTC
 Storm Located at           :     17.80    145.00
 Guidance run with Vmax [kt]:    95.