Rapid Intensification Guidance

 EP112025 250908 00UTC
 Storm Located at           :     18.50    146.00
 Guidance run with Vmax [kt]:    90.


 Initial Conditions: 
 Predictor                Value    Favorable(F)/Unfavorable(U) 
 INTENSITY (VMAX) [kt]    90.00             U
 12-H DELTA VMAX  [kt]   -15.00             U
 CORE SIZE        [km]     5.00             F
 CONVECTION <-50C [%]     17.00             U
 CONVECTION <-60C [%]      3.00             U
 IR CORE SYMMETRY [K]      8.20             F
 TC SIZE          [%]     48.00             F


 Forecast Conditions:
 Predictor              Value                                         Favorable(F)/Unfavor(U) 
                           6    12    18    24    36    48    60    72  6 12 18 24 36 48 60 72
 Wind Shear [kt]        28.9  35.3  38.9  42.2  46.3  45.0  39.8  17.1  N  U  U VU VU VU  U  F
 Ocean Heat [kJ/cm^2]    0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   5.0   4.0  11.0  11.0  U  U  U  U  U  U  U  U
 Potential [kt]         23.6  23.6  25.0  26.5  26.5  29.6  34.3  36.0 VU VU VU VU VU VU VU  U
 200mb Divg [10^6/s]    43.0  25.0  14.0  20.0  10.0  33.0 -38.0   1.0  N  U  U  U  U  N VU  U
 Humidity 700-500 hPa   37.0  36.0  35.0  35.0  39.0  42.0  48.0  49.0 VU VU VU VU VU VU  U  U
 T Advectio [10^6 K/s]  13.0  14.0  14.0  11.0  11.0   1.0   2.0   0.0  U  U  U  U  U  N  N  N


    Probabilities[%] of Rapid intensification
 Thresholds   LDA-Method  LRE-Method  CONSENSUS
 20kt / 12h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 25kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 30kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 35kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 40kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 45kt / 36h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 55kt / 36h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 55kt / 48h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 70kt / 48h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 65kt / 72h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
Decapatation Guidance NOT VALID
Thermodyanmic Conditions Unfavorable for Intense Typhoons
 Convective Decapatation Guidance

 For SSTs greater than 27.5C

 Current sst along the future track = 25.78

 EP112025 250908 00UTC
 Storm Located at           :     18.50    146.00
 Guidance run with Vmax [kt]:    90.