Rapid Intensification Guidance EP122025 250905 06UTC Storm Located at : 24.40 115.00 Guidance run with Vmax [kt]: 35. Initial Conditions: Predictor Value Favorable(F)/Unfavorable(U) INTENSITY (VMAX) [kt] 35.00 F 12-H DELTA VMAX [kt] -10.00 U CORE SIZE [km] 11.80 F CONVECTION <-50C [%] 0.00 VU CONVECTION <-60C [%] 0.00 U IR CORE SYMMETRY [K] 0.00 F TC SIZE [%] 79.00 F Forecast Conditions: Predictor Value Favorable(F)/Unfavor(U) 6 12 18 24 36 48 60 72 6 12 18 24 36 48 60 72 Wind Shear [kt] 28.3 29.7 34.4 36.3 30.6 21.1 21.3 21.3 N N U U U N N N Ocean Heat [kJ/cm^2] 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 U U U U U U U U Potential [kt] 54.7 54.7 54.7 49.1 49.1 50.0 44.2 44.2 U U U U U U U U 200mb Divg [10^6/s] 13.0 26.0 17.0 -7.0 -5.0 -12.0 21.0 21.0 U U U U U U U U Humidity 700-500 hPa 50.0 47.0 45.0 43.0 40.0 37.0 36.0 36.0 U VU VU VU VU VU VU VU T Advectio [10^6 K/s] 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 2.0 8.0 8.0 N N N N N N U U Probabilities[%] of Rapid intensification Thresholds LDA-Method LRE-Method CONSENSUS 20kt / 12h 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 25kt / 24h 0.2% 0.0% 0.1% 30kt / 24h 0.2% 0.0% 0.1% 35kt / 24h 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 40kt / 24h 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 45kt / 36h 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 55kt / 36h 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 55kt / 48h 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 70kt / 48h 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 65kt / 72h 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% Decapatation Guidance NOT VALID Thermodyanmic Conditions Unfavorable for Intense Typhoons Convective Decapatation Guidance For SSTs greater than 27.5C Current sst along the future track = 23.66 EP122025 250905 06UTC Storm Located at : 24.40 115.00 Guidance run with Vmax [kt]: 35.