Rapid Intensification Guidance

 WP012025 250615 00UTC
 Storm Located at           :     24.30    112.40
 Guidance run with Vmax [kt]:    30.


 Initial Conditions: 
 Predictor                Value    Favorable(F)/Unfavorable(U) 
 INTENSITY (VMAX) [kt]    30.00             F
 12-H DELTA VMAX  [kt]   -20.00             U
 CORE SIZE        [km]     3.80             F
 CONVECTION <-50C [%]     81.00             N
 CONVECTION <-60C [%]     30.00             N
 IR CORE SYMMETRY [K]      9.90             F
 TC SIZE          [%]    135.00             U


 Forecast Conditions:
 Predictor              Value                                         Favorable(F)/Unfavor(U) 
                           6    12    18    24    36    48    60    72  6 12 18 24 36 48 60 72
 Wind Shear [kt]        24.4  34.2  57.5  61.1  74.7  74.7  74.7  74.7  N  U VU VU VU VU VU VU
 Ocean Heat [kJ/cm^2]    0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0  U  U  U  U  U  U  U  U
 Potential [kt]         89.6  80.8  64.8  50.8  33.7  33.7  33.7  33.7  N  N  U  U VU VU VU VU
 200mb Divg [10^6/s]    24.0  31.0  50.0  36.0  -6.0  -6.0  -6.0  -6.0  U  N  N  N  U  U  U  U
 Humidity 700-500 hPa   56.0  51.0  46.0  44.0  39.0  39.0  39.0  39.0  U  U VU VU VU VU VU VU
 T Advectio [10^6 K/s]   2.0  -3.0  21.0  -9.0 -25.0 -25.0 -25.0 -25.0  N  N VU  F VF VF VF VF


    Probabilities[%] of Rapid intensification
 Thresholds   LDA-Method  LRE-Method  CONSENSUS
 20kt / 12h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 25kt / 24h        0.2%        0.0%        0.1%
 30kt / 24h        0.2%        0.0%        0.1%
 35kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 40kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 45kt / 36h        0.1%        0.0%        0.1%
 55kt / 36h        0.1%        0.0%        0.1%
 55kt / 48h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 70kt / 48h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 65kt / 72h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
Decapatation Guidance NOT VALID
Thermodyanmic Conditions Unfavorable for Intense Typhoons
 Convective Decapatation Guidance

 For SSTs greater than 27.5C

 Current sst along the future track = 25.06

 WP012025 250615 00UTC
 Storm Located at           :     24.30    112.40
 Guidance run with Vmax [kt]:    30.