Rapid Intensification Guidance

 WP022025 250624 12UTC
 Storm Located at           :     30.60    140.10
 Guidance run with Vmax [kt]:    35.


 Initial Conditions: 
 Predictor                Value    Favorable(F)/Unfavorable(U) 
 INTENSITY (VMAX) [kt]    35.00             F
 12-H DELTA VMAX  [kt]     0.00             N
 CORE SIZE        [km]     6.60             F
 CONVECTION <-50C [%]      3.00            VU
 CONVECTION <-60C [%]      1.00             U
 IR CORE SYMMETRY [K]      3.30             F
 TC SIZE          [%]     99.00             N


 Forecast Conditions:
 Predictor              Value                                         Favorable(F)/Unfavor(U) 
                           6    12    18    24    36    48    60    72  6 12 18 24 36 48 60 72
 Wind Shear [kt]        21.2  15.5  13.7  17.0  18.6  27.5  25.4  44.3  N  F  F  F  N  N  N VU
 Ocean Heat [kJ/cm^2]    0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0  U  U  U  U  U  U  U  U
 Potential [kt]         62.0  62.0  59.8  55.7  41.9  29.1  12.5   5.3  U  U  U  U  U VU VU VU
 200mb Divg [10^6/s]    54.0  47.0  53.0  64.0  69.0  29.0  30.0 -23.0  N  N  N  N  N  N  N VU
 Humidity 700-500 hPa   67.0  70.0  69.0  71.0  76.0  73.0  71.0  73.0  N  N  N  N  F  N  N  N
 T Advectio [10^6 K/s]   3.0   1.0   6.0   6.0   6.0  17.0  21.0   5.0  N  N  N  N  N  U VU  N


    Probabilities[%] of Rapid intensification
 Thresholds   LDA-Method  LRE-Method  CONSENSUS
 20kt / 12h        0.0%        0.1%        0.0%
 25kt / 24h        0.2%        0.2%        0.2%
 30kt / 24h        0.2%        0.1%        0.1%
 35kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 40kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 45kt / 36h        0.0%        0.7%        0.4%
 55kt / 36h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 55kt / 48h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 70kt / 48h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 65kt / 72h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
Decapatation Guidance NOT VALID
Thermodyanmic Conditions Unfavorable for Intense Typhoons
 Convective Decapatation Guidance

 For SSTs greater than 27.5C

 Current sst along the future track = 24.26

 WP022025 250624 12UTC
 Storm Located at           :     30.60    140.10
 Guidance run with Vmax [kt]:    35.