Rapid Intensification Guidance

 WP022025 250625 00UTC
 Storm Located at           :     32.00    139.50
 Guidance run with Vmax [kt]:    30.


 Initial Conditions: 
 Predictor                Value    Favorable(F)/Unfavorable(U) 
 INTENSITY (VMAX) [kt]    30.00             F
 12-H DELTA VMAX  [kt]    -5.00             U
 CORE SIZE        [km]    11.80             F
 CONVECTION <-50C [%]      4.00            VU
 CONVECTION <-60C [%]      0.00             U
 IR CORE SYMMETRY [K]      1.50             F
 TC SIZE          [%]    107.00             N


 Forecast Conditions:
 Predictor              Value                                         Favorable(F)/Unfavor(U) 
                           6    12    18    24    36    48    60    72  6 12 18 24 36 48 60 72
 Wind Shear [kt]        17.0  17.8  20.9  23.2  29.5  37.9  43.2  44.4  F  F  N  N  N  U VU VU
 Ocean Heat [kJ/cm^2]    0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0  U  U  U  U  U  U  U  U
 Potential [kt]         65.9  61.7  55.9  47.6  27.3  14.4  10.3  10.0  U  U  U  U VU VU VU VU
 200mb Divg [10^6/s]    46.0  51.0  63.0  85.0   4.0   2.0  68.0  36.0  N  N  N  F  U  U  N  N
 Humidity 700-500 hPa   64.0  64.0  66.0  67.0  68.0  71.0  70.0  69.0  N  N  N  N  N  N  N  N
 T Advectio [10^6 K/s]   6.0  11.0  20.0  28.0  31.0  38.0  30.0  11.0  N  U VU VU VU VU VU  U


    Probabilities[%] of Rapid intensification
 Thresholds   LDA-Method  LRE-Method  CONSENSUS
 20kt / 12h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 25kt / 24h        0.2%        0.1%        0.1%
 30kt / 24h        0.2%        0.0%        0.1%
 35kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 40kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 45kt / 36h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 55kt / 36h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 55kt / 48h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 70kt / 48h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 65kt / 72h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
Decapatation Guidance NOT VALID
Thermodyanmic Conditions Unfavorable for Intense Typhoons
 Convective Decapatation Guidance

 For SSTs greater than 27.5C

 Current sst along the future track = 23.62

 WP022025 250625 00UTC
 Storm Located at           :     32.00    139.50
 Guidance run with Vmax [kt]:    30.