Rapid Intensification Guidance WP022025 250625 06UTC Storm Located at : 32.70 139.60 Guidance run with Vmax [kt]: 30. Initial Conditions: Predictor Value Favorable(F)/Unfavorable(U) INTENSITY (VMAX) [kt] 30.00 F 12-H DELTA VMAX [kt] 0.00 N CORE SIZE [km] 3.80 F CONVECTION <-50C [%] 1.00 VU CONVECTION <-60C [%] 0.00 U IR CORE SYMMETRY [K] 1.50 F TC SIZE [%] 108.00 N Forecast Conditions: Predictor Value Favorable(F)/Unfavor(U) 6 12 18 24 36 48 60 72 6 12 18 24 36 48 60 72 Wind Shear [kt] 18.2 15.9 21.1 28.4 29.4 41.3 45.8 33.4 F F N N N VU VU U Ocean Heat [kJ/cm^2] 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 U U U U U U U U Potential [kt] 61.7 55.9 47.6 41.4 22.3 11.5 10.2 10.0 U U U U VU VU VU VU 200mb Divg [10^6/s] 39.0 62.0 85.0 15.0 58.0 101.0 3.0 34.0 N N F U N F U N Humidity 700-500 hPa 63.0 66.0 66.0 67.0 72.0 72.0 76.0 64.0 N N N N N N F N T Advectio [10^6 K/s] 10.0 15.0 27.0 17.0 14.0 36.0 22.0 35.0 U U VU U U VU VU VU Probabilities[%] of Rapid intensification Thresholds LDA-Method LRE-Method CONSENSUS 20kt / 12h 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 25kt / 24h 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 30kt / 24h 0.2% 0.0% 0.1% 35kt / 24h 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 40kt / 24h 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 45kt / 36h 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 55kt / 36h 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 55kt / 48h 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 70kt / 48h 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 65kt / 72h 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% Decapatation Guidance NOT VALID Thermodyanmic Conditions Unfavorable for Intense Typhoons Convective Decapatation Guidance For SSTs greater than 27.5C Current sst along the future track = 23.04 WP022025 250625 06UTC Storm Located at : 32.70 139.60 Guidance run with Vmax [kt]: 30.