Rapid Intensification Guidance

 WP022025 250625 12UTC
 Storm Located at           :     33.70    139.80
 Guidance run with Vmax [kt]:    25.


 Initial Conditions: 
 Predictor                Value    Favorable(F)/Unfavorable(U) 
 INTENSITY (VMAX) [kt]    25.00             F
 12-H DELTA VMAX  [kt]    -5.00             U
 CORE SIZE        [km]     5.00             F
 CONVECTION <-50C [%]      3.00            VU
 CONVECTION <-60C [%]      2.00             U
 IR CORE SYMMETRY [K]      1.30             F
 TC SIZE          [%]    110.00             N


 Forecast Conditions:
 Predictor              Value                                         Favorable(F)/Unfavor(U) 
                           6    12    18    24    36    48    60    72  6 12 18 24 36 48 60 72
 Wind Shear [kt]        20.6  21.1  29.4  31.8  41.5  41.2  32.6  19.5  N  N  N  U VU VU  U  N
 Ocean Heat [kJ/cm^2]    0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0  U  U  U  U  U  U  U  U
 Potential [kt]         60.9  52.6  38.7  25.8  16.1  15.0  14.8  15.0  U  U  U VU VU VU VU VU
 200mb Divg [10^6/s]    86.0  87.0  33.0  28.0   3.0  79.0  72.0 -32.0  F  F  N  U  U  N  N VU
 Humidity 700-500 hPa   68.0  66.0  67.0  70.0  74.0  74.0  62.0  45.0  N  N  N  N  N  N  N VU
 T Advectio [10^6 K/s]  20.0  21.0  17.0  32.0  43.0  21.0  12.0   0.0 VU VU  U VU VU VU  U  N


    Probabilities[%] of Rapid intensification
 Thresholds   LDA-Method  LRE-Method  CONSENSUS
 20kt / 12h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 25kt / 24h        0.2%        0.0%        0.1%
 30kt / 24h        0.2%        0.0%        0.1%
 35kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 40kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 45kt / 36h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 55kt / 36h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 55kt / 48h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 70kt / 48h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 65kt / 72h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
Decapatation Guidance NOT VALID
Thermodyanmic Conditions Unfavorable for Intense Typhoons
 Convective Decapatation Guidance

 For SSTs greater than 27.5C

 Current sst along the future track = 21.16

 WP022025 250625 12UTC
 Storm Located at           :     33.70    139.80
 Guidance run with Vmax [kt]:    25.