Rapid Intensification Guidance

 WP022025 250625 18UTC
 Storm Located at           :     34.50    140.30
 Guidance run with Vmax [kt]:    25.


 Initial Conditions: 
 Predictor                Value    Favorable(F)/Unfavorable(U) 
 INTENSITY (VMAX) [kt]    25.00             F
 12-H DELTA VMAX  [kt]     0.00             N
 CORE SIZE        [km]     2.20             F
 CONVECTION <-50C [%]     10.00            VU
 CONVECTION <-60C [%]      7.00             U
 IR CORE SYMMETRY [K]      3.40             F
 TC SIZE          [%]    117.00             N


 Forecast Conditions:
 Predictor              Value                                         Favorable(F)/Unfavor(U) 
                           6    12    18    24    36    48    60    72  6 12 18 24 36 48 60 72
 Wind Shear [kt]        22.3  30.3  32.8  32.4  46.0  36.1  10.7   9.5  N  N  U  U VU  U  F  F
 Ocean Heat [kJ/cm^2]    0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0  U  U  U  U  U  U  U  U
 Potential [kt]         46.4  38.7  25.8  19.0  15.2  14.9  14.8  14.9  U  U VU VU VU VU VU VU
 200mb Divg [10^6/s]    68.0  49.0  34.0  51.0  41.0  44.0  39.0  20.0  N  N  N  N  N  N  N  U
 Humidity 700-500 hPa   68.0  68.0  71.0  73.0  73.0  70.0  54.0  46.0  N  N  N  N  N  N  U VU
 T Advectio [10^6 K/s]  20.0  26.0  21.0   7.0  11.0   6.0  -2.0   2.0 VU VU VU  N  U  N  N  N


    Probabilities[%] of Rapid intensification
 Thresholds   LDA-Method  LRE-Method  CONSENSUS
 20kt / 12h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 25kt / 24h        0.2%        0.0%        0.1%
 30kt / 24h        0.2%        0.0%        0.1%
 35kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 40kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 45kt / 36h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 55kt / 36h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 55kt / 48h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 70kt / 48h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 65kt / 72h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
Decapatation Guidance NOT VALID
Thermodyanmic Conditions Unfavorable for Intense Typhoons
 Convective Decapatation Guidance

 For SSTs greater than 27.5C

 Current sst along the future track = 18.64

 WP022025 250625 18UTC
 Storm Located at           :     34.50    140.30
 Guidance run with Vmax [kt]:    25.