Rapid Intensification Guidance

 WP022025 250626 00UTC
 Storm Located at           :     35.70    141.40
 Guidance run with Vmax [kt]:    25.


 Initial Conditions: 
 Predictor                Value    Favorable(F)/Unfavorable(U) 
 INTENSITY (VMAX) [kt]    25.00             F
 12-H DELTA VMAX  [kt]     0.00             N
 CORE SIZE        [km]    11.80             F
 CONVECTION <-50C [%]     13.00            VU
 CONVECTION <-60C [%]      0.00             U
 IR CORE SYMMETRY [K]      6.10             F
 TC SIZE          [%]    157.00             U


 Forecast Conditions:
 Predictor              Value                                         Favorable(F)/Unfavor(U) 
                           6    12    18    24    36    48    60    72  6 12 18 24 36 48 60 72
 Wind Shear [kt]        27.8  28.2  28.6  38.6  40.2  29.2  10.0  12.5  N  N  N  U  U  N  F  F
 Ocean Heat [kJ/cm^2]    0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0  U  U  U  U  U  U  U  U
 Potential [kt]         39.1  26.1  19.1  16.2  15.0  14.8  14.9  15.2  U VU VU VU VU VU VU VU
 200mb Divg [10^6/s]    53.0  37.0  42.0  67.0  81.0  23.0  32.0  15.0  N  N  N  N  N  U  N  U
 Humidity 700-500 hPa   66.0  69.0  70.0  68.0  67.0  60.0  49.0  41.0  N  N  N  N  N  N  U VU
 T Advectio [10^6 K/s]  30.0  18.0  14.0  11.0  17.0   5.0  -1.0   8.0 VU VU  U  U  U  N  N  U


    Probabilities[%] of Rapid intensification
 Thresholds   LDA-Method  LRE-Method  CONSENSUS
 20kt / 12h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 25kt / 24h        0.1%        0.0%        0.1%
 30kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 35kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 40kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 45kt / 36h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 55kt / 36h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 55kt / 48h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 70kt / 48h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 65kt / 72h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
Decapatation Guidance NOT VALID
Thermodyanmic Conditions Unfavorable for Intense Typhoons
 Convective Decapatation Guidance

 For SSTs greater than 27.5C

 Current sst along the future track = 15.96

 WP022025 250626 00UTC
 Storm Located at           :     35.70    141.40
 Guidance run with Vmax [kt]:    25.