Rapid Intensification Guidance

 WP022025 250626 06UTC
 Storm Located at           :     37.10    142.90
 Guidance run with Vmax [kt]:    25.


 Initial Conditions: 
 Predictor                Value    Favorable(F)/Unfavorable(U) 
 INTENSITY (VMAX) [kt]    25.00             F
 12-H DELTA VMAX  [kt]     0.00             N
 CORE SIZE        [km]     6.60             F
 CONVECTION <-50C [%]     12.00            VU
 CONVECTION <-60C [%]      9.00             U
 IR CORE SYMMETRY [K]      6.20             F
 TC SIZE          [%]    169.00             U


 Forecast Conditions:
 Predictor              Value                                         Favorable(F)/Unfavor(U) 
                           6    12    18    24    36    48    60    72  6 12 18 24 36 48 60 72
 Wind Shear [kt]        30.6  35.2  42.5  45.5  38.6  17.5   7.7  21.7  U  U VU VU  U  F VF  N
 Ocean Heat [kJ/cm^2]    0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0  U  U  U  U  U  U  U  U
 Potential [kt]         26.1  19.1  17.3  15.6  15.0  15.0  15.3  15.6 VU VU VU VU VU VU VU VU
 200mb Divg [10^6/s]    17.0  52.0  55.0 122.0  45.0  32.0   4.0  26.0  U  N  N  F  N  N  U  U
 Humidity 700-500 hPa   71.0  71.0  70.0  72.0  70.0  55.0  45.0  45.0  N  N  N  N  N  U VU VU
 T Advectio [10^6 K/s]  20.0   0.0  14.0   7.0   9.0   2.0   2.0  -2.0 VU  N  U  N  U  N  N  N


    Probabilities[%] of Rapid intensification
 Thresholds   LDA-Method  LRE-Method  CONSENSUS
 20kt / 12h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 25kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 30kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 35kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 40kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 45kt / 36h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 55kt / 36h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 55kt / 48h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 70kt / 48h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 65kt / 72h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
Decapatation Guidance NOT VALID
Thermodyanmic Conditions Unfavorable for Intense Typhoons
 Convective Decapatation Guidance

 For SSTs greater than 27.5C

 Current sst along the future track = 13.32

 WP022025 250626 06UTC
 Storm Located at           :     37.10    142.90
 Guidance run with Vmax [kt]:    25.