Rapid Intensification Guidance

 WP022025 250626 18UTC
 Storm Located at           :     41.30    147.80
 Guidance run with Vmax [kt]:    30.


 Initial Conditions: 
 Predictor                Value    Favorable(F)/Unfavorable(U) 
 INTENSITY (VMAX) [kt]    30.00             F
 12-H DELTA VMAX  [kt]     5.00             N
 CORE SIZE        [km]    11.40             F
 CONVECTION <-50C [%]     38.00             U
 CONVECTION <-60C [%]     16.00             U
 IR CORE SYMMETRY [K]      8.00             F
 TC SIZE          [%]    194.00             U


 Forecast Conditions:
 Predictor              Value                                         Favorable(F)/Unfavor(U) 
                           6    12    18    24    36    48    60    72  6 12 18 24 36 48 60 72
 Wind Shear [kt]        39.9  49.0  44.8  43.5  25.1  11.2  12.3   9.2  U VU VU VU  N  F  F  F
 Ocean Heat [kJ/cm^2]    0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0  U  U  U  U  U  U  U  U
 Potential [kt]         11.2  10.2  10.0   9.9   9.9  10.1  10.6  10.6 VU VU VU VU VU VU VU VU
 200mb Divg [10^6/s]    60.0  59.0  83.0  65.0  43.0  15.0  25.0  17.0  N  N  N  N  N  U  U  U
 Humidity 700-500 hPa   71.0  69.0  68.0  66.0  57.0  44.0  43.0  46.0  N  N  N  N  U VU VU VU
 T Advectio [10^6 K/s]  29.0  12.0  13.0   9.0  -1.0   1.0   8.0   8.0 VU  U  U  U  N  N  U  U


    Probabilities[%] of Rapid intensification
 Thresholds   LDA-Method  LRE-Method  CONSENSUS
 20kt / 12h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 25kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 30kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 35kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 40kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 45kt / 36h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 55kt / 36h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 55kt / 48h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 70kt / 48h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 65kt / 72h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
Decapatation Guidance NOT VALID
Thermodyanmic Conditions Unfavorable for Intense Typhoons
 Convective Decapatation Guidance

 For SSTs greater than 27.5C

 Current sst along the future track =  7.70

 WP022025 250626 18UTC
 Storm Located at           :     41.30    147.80
 Guidance run with Vmax [kt]:    30.