Rapid Intensification Guidance WP022025 250627 00UTC Storm Located at : 43.80 150.50 Guidance run with Vmax [kt]: 30. Initial Conditions: Predictor Value Favorable(F)/Unfavorable(U) INTENSITY (VMAX) [kt] 30.00 F 12-H DELTA VMAX [kt] 0.00 N CORE SIZE [km] 10.60 F CONVECTION <-50C [%] 2.00 VU CONVECTION <-60C [%] 0.00 U IR CORE SYMMETRY [K] 6.20 F TC SIZE [%] 181.00 U Forecast Conditions: Predictor Value Favorable(F)/Unfavor(U) 6 12 18 24 36 48 60 72 6 12 18 24 36 48 60 72 Wind Shear [kt] 48.1 46.9 46.3 42.1 49.9 58.9 45.2 39.8 VU VU VU VU VU VU VU U Ocean Heat [kJ/cm^2] 9999.09999.09999.09999.09999.09999.09999.09999.0 VF VF VF VF VF VF VF VF Potential [kt] 10.2 10.1 10.0 10.0 10.2 10.0 10.0 9.7 VU VU VU VU VU VU VU VU 200mb Divg [10^6/s] 52.0 76.0 57.0 59.0 30.0 5.0 -24.0 -26.0 N N N N N U VU VU Humidity 700-500 hPa 70.0 72.0 73.0 73.0 71.0 72.0 71.0 63.0 N N N N N N N N T Advectio [10^6 K/s] 12.0 25.0 18.0 17.0 4.0 52.0 71.0 52.0 U VU VU U N VU VU VU Probabilities[%] of Rapid intensification Thresholds LDA-Method LRE-Method CONSENSUS 20kt / 12h 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 25kt / 24h 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 30kt / 24h 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 35kt / 24h 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 40kt / 24h 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 45kt / 36h 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 55kt / 36h 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 55kt / 48h 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 70kt / 48h 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 65kt / 72h 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% Decapatation Guidance NOT VALID Thermodyanmic Conditions Unfavorable for Intense Typhoons Convective Decapatation Guidance For SSTs greater than 27.5C Current sst along the future track = 6.62 WP022025 250627 00UTC Storm Located at : 43.80 150.50 Guidance run with Vmax [kt]: 30.