Rapid Intensification Guidance WP032025 250626 18UTC Storm Located at : 22.40 109.10 Guidance run with Vmax [kt]: 20. Initial Conditions: Predictor Value Favorable(F)/Unfavorable(U) INTENSITY (VMAX) [kt] 20.00 F 12-H DELTA VMAX [kt] -5.00 U CORE SIZE [km] 3.40 F CONVECTION <-50C [%] 25.00 U CONVECTION <-60C [%] 17.00 U IR CORE SYMMETRY [K] 6.50 F TC SIZE [%] 104.00 N Forecast Conditions: Predictor Value Favorable(F)/Unfavor(U) 6 12 18 24 36 48 60 72 6 12 18 24 36 48 60 72 Wind Shear [kt] 27.5 26.4 29.3 32.3 35.8 35.8 35.8 35.8 N N N U U U U U Ocean Heat [kJ/cm^2] 23.0 23.0 23.0 23.0 23.0 23.0 23.0 23.0 U U U U U U U U Potential [kt] 135.1 118.5 107.7 98.0 82.9 82.9 82.9 82.9 F N N N N N N N 200mb Divg [10^6/s] 10.0 34.0 49.0 28.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 U N N U U U U U Humidity 700-500 hPa 77.0 74.0 73.0 74.0 64.0 64.0 64.0 64.0 F N N N N N N N T Advectio [10^6 K/s] 2.0 6.0 9.0 7.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 N N U N N N N N Probabilities[%] of Rapid intensification Thresholds LDA-Method LRE-Method CONSENSUS 20kt / 12h 0.0% 0.2% 0.1% 25kt / 24h 0.2% 1.0% 0.6% 30kt / 24h 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 35kt / 24h 0.0% 0.2% 0.1% 40kt / 24h 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 45kt / 36h 0.1% 1.0% 0.6% 55kt / 36h 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 55kt / 48h 0.3% 0.1% 0.2% 70kt / 48h 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 65kt / 72h 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% Decapatation Guidance NOT VALID Thermodyanmic Conditions Unfavorable for Intense Typhoons Convective Decapatation Guidance For SSTs greater than 27.5C Current sst along the future track = 27.32 WP032025 250626 18UTC Storm Located at : 22.40 109.10 Guidance run with Vmax [kt]: 20.