Rapid Intensification Guidance

 WP032025 250627 00UTC
 Storm Located at           :     23.20    108.70
 Guidance run with Vmax [kt]:    20.


 Initial Conditions: 
 Predictor                Value    Favorable(F)/Unfavorable(U) 
 INTENSITY (VMAX) [kt]    20.00             F
 12-H DELTA VMAX  [kt]    -5.00             U
 CORE SIZE        [km]     8.20             F
 CONVECTION <-50C [%]      8.00            VU
 CONVECTION <-60C [%]      0.00             U
 IR CORE SYMMETRY [K]      7.60             F
 TC SIZE          [%]    115.00             N


 Forecast Conditions:
 Predictor              Value                                         Favorable(F)/Unfavor(U) 
                           6    12    18    24    36    48    60    72  6 12 18 24 36 48 60 72
 Wind Shear [kt]        24.0  25.7  27.7  36.9  49.4  49.4  49.4  49.4  N  N  N  U VU VU VU VU
 Ocean Heat [kJ/cm^2]   23.0  23.0  23.0  23.0  23.0  23.0  23.0  23.0  U  U  U  U  U  U  U  U
 Potential [kt]        120.5 109.4  99.6  84.2  65.0  65.0  65.0  65.0  N  N  N  N  U  U  U  U
 200mb Divg [10^6/s]    37.0  31.0  36.0 -14.0  29.0  29.0  29.0  29.0  N  N  N  U  N  N  N  N
 Humidity 700-500 hPa   71.0  72.0  71.0  67.0  58.0  58.0  58.0  58.0  N  N  N  N  U  U  U  U
 T Advectio [10^6 K/s]   5.0   9.0   3.0   8.0   1.0   1.0   1.0   1.0  N  U  N  U  N  N  N  N


    Probabilities[%] of Rapid intensification
 Thresholds   LDA-Method  LRE-Method  CONSENSUS
 20kt / 12h        0.0%        0.1%        0.1%
 25kt / 24h        0.2%        0.3%        0.3%
 30kt / 24h        0.2%        0.1%        0.1%
 35kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 40kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 45kt / 36h        0.1%        0.3%        0.2%
 55kt / 36h        0.1%        0.1%        0.1%
 55kt / 48h        0.1%        0.0%        0.1%
 70kt / 48h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 65kt / 72h        0.1%        0.0%        0.1%
Decapatation Guidance NOT VALID
Thermodyanmic Conditions Unfavorable for Intense Typhoons
 Convective Decapatation Guidance

 For SSTs greater than 27.5C

 Current sst along the future track = 26.62

 WP032025 250627 00UTC
 Storm Located at           :     23.20    108.70
 Guidance run with Vmax [kt]:    20.