Rapid Intensification Guidance

 WP042025 250706 06UTC
 Storm Located at           :     32.70    149.40
 Guidance run with Vmax [kt]:    50.


 Initial Conditions: 
 Predictor                Value    Favorable(F)/Unfavorable(U) 
 INTENSITY (VMAX) [kt]    50.00             N
 12-H DELTA VMAX  [kt]     0.00             N
 CORE SIZE        [km]     2.20             F
 CONVECTION <-50C [%]     22.00             U
 CONVECTION <-60C [%]      0.00             U
 IR CORE SYMMETRY [K]      5.70             F
 TC SIZE          [%]     98.00             N


 Forecast Conditions:
 Predictor              Value                                         Favorable(F)/Unfavor(U) 
                           6    12    18    24    36    48    60    72  6 12 18 24 36 48 60 72
 Wind Shear [kt]        27.1  42.7  47.7  44.7  43.9  32.3  49.5  42.3  N VU VU VU VU  U VU VU
 Ocean Heat [kJ/cm^2]    0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0  U  U  U  U  U  U  U  U
 Potential [kt]         43.8  38.7  32.4  32.4  20.8   6.3  -3.5  -8.6  U  U VU VU VU VU VU VU
 200mb Divg [10^6/s]   -72.0 -64.0   3.0 -39.0 -29.0   0.0  13.0   7.0 VU VU  U VU VU  U  U  U
 Humidity 700-500 hPa   56.0  54.0  48.0  46.0  45.0  40.0  48.0  58.0  U  U  U VU VU VU  U  U
 T Advectio [10^6 K/s]  -4.0  -3.0  -3.0   0.0 -12.0  11.0 -10.0 -30.0  F  N  N  N  F  U  F VF


    Probabilities[%] of Rapid intensification
 Thresholds   LDA-Method  LRE-Method  CONSENSUS
 20kt / 12h        0.0%        0.1%        0.0%
 25kt / 24h        0.2%        0.0%        0.1%
 30kt / 24h        0.2%        0.0%        0.1%
 35kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 40kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 45kt / 36h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 55kt / 36h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 55kt / 48h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 70kt / 48h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 65kt / 72h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
Decapatation Guidance NOT VALID
Thermodyanmic Conditions Unfavorable for Intense Typhoons
 Convective Decapatation Guidance

 For SSTs greater than 27.5C

 Current sst along the future track = 23.60

 WP042025 250706 06UTC
 Storm Located at           :     32.70    149.40
 Guidance run with Vmax [kt]:    50.