Rapid Intensification Guidance

 WP042025 250706 18UTC
 Storm Located at           :     34.10    149.30
 Guidance run with Vmax [kt]:    50.


 Initial Conditions: 
 Predictor                Value    Favorable(F)/Unfavorable(U) 
 INTENSITY (VMAX) [kt]    50.00             N
 12-H DELTA VMAX  [kt]     0.00             N
 CORE SIZE        [km]     3.00             F
 CONVECTION <-50C [%]     19.00             U
 CONVECTION <-60C [%]      7.00             U
 IR CORE SYMMETRY [K]      4.20             F
 TC SIZE          [%]     86.00             F


 Forecast Conditions:
 Predictor              Value                                         Favorable(F)/Unfavor(U) 
                           6    12    18    24    36    48    60    72  6 12 18 24 36 48 60 72
 Wind Shear [kt]        47.7  49.6  52.1  44.3  44.8  64.1  64.1  64.1 VU VU VU VU VU VU VU VU
 Ocean Heat [kJ/cm^2]    0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0  U  U  U  U  U  U  U  U
 Potential [kt]         31.6  32.4  19.0  12.2  -2.8  -7.1  -7.1  -7.1 VU VU VU VU VU VU VU VU
 200mb Divg [10^6/s]   -13.0 -10.0 -21.0 -12.0   4.0  43.0  43.0  43.0  U  U VU  U  U  N  N  N
 Humidity 700-500 hPa   48.0  47.0  42.0  42.0  38.0  46.0  46.0  46.0  U VU VU VU VU VU VU VU
 T Advectio [10^6 K/s]  -7.0  -4.0 -10.0   0.0   9.0 -46.0 -46.0 -46.0  F  F  F  N  U VF VF VF


    Probabilities[%] of Rapid intensification
 Thresholds   LDA-Method  LRE-Method  CONSENSUS
 20kt / 12h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 25kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 30kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 35kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 40kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 45kt / 36h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 55kt / 36h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 55kt / 48h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 70kt / 48h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 65kt / 72h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
Decapatation Guidance NOT VALID
Thermodyanmic Conditions Unfavorable for Intense Typhoons
 Convective Decapatation Guidance

 For SSTs greater than 27.5C

 Current sst along the future track = 22.00

 WP042025 250706 18UTC
 Storm Located at           :     34.10    149.30
 Guidance run with Vmax [kt]:    50.