Rapid Intensification Guidance

 WP042025 250707 00UTC
 Storm Located at           :     35.00    148.90
 Guidance run with Vmax [kt]:    45.


 Initial Conditions: 
 Predictor                Value    Favorable(F)/Unfavorable(U) 
 INTENSITY (VMAX) [kt]    45.00             N
 12-H DELTA VMAX  [kt]    -5.00             U
 CORE SIZE        [km]     2.60             F
 CONVECTION <-50C [%]      3.00            VU
 CONVECTION <-60C [%]      0.00             U
 IR CORE SYMMETRY [K]      2.80             F
 TC SIZE          [%]     84.00             F


 Forecast Conditions:
 Predictor              Value                                         Favorable(F)/Unfavor(U) 
                           6    12    18    24    36    48    60    72  6 12 18 24 36 48 60 72
 Wind Shear [kt]        45.0  49.8  45.0  31.8  49.5  52.0  74.6  71.2 VU VU VU  U VU VU VU VU
 Ocean Heat [kJ/cm^2]    0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0  U  U  U  U  U  U  U  U
 Potential [kt]         38.3  31.9  24.6  10.9   2.3  -2.6  -4.2  -4.3  U VU VU VU VU VU VU VU
 200mb Divg [10^6/s]   -35.0 -19.0 -16.0 -17.0  -1.0  86.0  30.0  27.0 VU  U  U  U  U  F  N  U
 Humidity 700-500 hPa   45.0  43.0  42.0  37.0  41.0  52.0  56.0  51.0 VU VU VU VU VU  U  U  U
 T Advectio [10^6 K/s]  -1.0  -8.0 -12.0   3.0 -19.0 -41.0  54.0  62.0  N  F  F  N VF VF VU VU


    Probabilities[%] of Rapid intensification
 Thresholds   LDA-Method  LRE-Method  CONSENSUS
 20kt / 12h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 25kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 30kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 35kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 40kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 45kt / 36h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 55kt / 36h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 55kt / 48h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 70kt / 48h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 65kt / 72h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
Decapatation Guidance NOT VALID
Thermodyanmic Conditions Unfavorable for Intense Typhoons
 Convective Decapatation Guidance

 For SSTs greater than 27.5C

 Current sst along the future track = 21.48

 WP042025 250707 00UTC
 Storm Located at           :     35.00    148.90
 Guidance run with Vmax [kt]:    45.