Rapid Intensification Guidance

 WP062025 250713 06UTC
 Storm Located at           :     27.60    143.00
 Guidance run with Vmax [kt]:    35.


 Initial Conditions: 
 Predictor                Value    Favorable(F)/Unfavorable(U) 
 INTENSITY (VMAX) [kt]    35.00             F
 12-H DELTA VMAX  [kt]     0.00             N
 CORE SIZE        [km]    11.80             F
 CONVECTION <-50C [%]     27.00             U
 CONVECTION <-60C [%]     17.00             U
 IR CORE SYMMETRY [K]      5.80             F
 TC SIZE          [%]    139.00             U


 Forecast Conditions:
 Predictor              Value                                         Favorable(F)/Unfavor(U) 
                           6    12    18    24    36    48    60    72  6 12 18 24 36 48 60 72
 Wind Shear [kt]        31.6  21.7  23.7  23.7  27.4  49.1  63.7  60.2  U  N  N  N  N VU VU VU
 Ocean Heat [kJ/cm^2]    7.0   1.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0  U  U  U  U  U  U  U  U
 Potential [kt]         99.8  84.6  75.8  55.7  17.3   6.6   5.6   5.8  N  N  U  U VU VU VU VU
 200mb Divg [10^6/s]    44.0  34.0  59.0  46.0  54.0  18.0   0.0  63.0  N  N  N  N  N  U  U  N
 Humidity 700-500 hPa   64.0  59.0  56.0  57.0  60.0  56.0  54.0  55.0  N  U  U  U  N  U  U  U
 T Advectio [10^6 K/s]  -2.0  12.0  13.0  13.0  30.0  15.0  12.0  28.0  N  U  U  U VU  U  U VU


    Probabilities[%] of Rapid intensification
 Thresholds   LDA-Method  LRE-Method  CONSENSUS
 20kt / 12h        0.0%        0.3%        0.2%
 25kt / 24h        0.2%        0.7%        0.5%
 30kt / 24h        0.2%        0.2%        0.2%
 35kt / 24h        0.0%        0.1%        0.1%
 40kt / 24h        0.0%        0.1%        0.0%
 45kt / 36h        0.1%        0.6%        0.4%
 55kt / 36h        0.1%        0.1%        0.1%
 55kt / 48h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 70kt / 48h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 65kt / 72h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
Decapatation Guidance NOT VALID
Thermodyanmic Conditions Unfavorable for Intense Typhoons
 Convective Decapatation Guidance

 For SSTs greater than 27.5C

 Current sst along the future track = 26.10

 WP062025 250713 06UTC
 Storm Located at           :     27.60    143.00
 Guidance run with Vmax [kt]:    35.