Rapid Intensification Guidance WP062025 250713 12UTC Storm Located at : 30.20 143.30 Guidance run with Vmax [kt]: 35. Initial Conditions: Predictor Value Favorable(F)/Unfavorable(U) INTENSITY (VMAX) [kt] 35.00 F 12-H DELTA VMAX [kt] 0.00 N CORE SIZE [km] 11.80 F CONVECTION <-50C [%] 35.00 U CONVECTION <-60C [%] 31.00 N IR CORE SYMMETRY [K] 5.80 F TC SIZE [%] 154.00 U Forecast Conditions: Predictor Value Favorable(F)/Unfavor(U) 6 12 18 24 36 48 60 72 6 12 18 24 36 48 60 72 Wind Shear [kt] 20.8 21.3 23.1 24.9 31.8 61.9 70.4 60.4 N N N N U VU VU VU Ocean Heat [kJ/cm^2] 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 U U U U U U U U Potential [kt] 78.6 66.7 45.8 21.6 8.2 5.6 5.9 5.8 N U U VU VU VU VU VU 200mb Divg [10^6/s] 42.0 56.0 50.0 23.0 40.0 41.0 4.0 -5.0 N N N U N N U U Humidity 700-500 hPa 58.0 54.0 56.0 58.0 66.0 56.0 52.0 49.0 U U U U N U U U T Advectio [10^6 K/s] 20.0 9.0 6.0 27.0 26.0 -9.0 22.0 3.0 VU U N VU VU F VU N Probabilities[%] of Rapid intensification Thresholds LDA-Method LRE-Method CONSENSUS 20kt / 12h 0.0% 0.2% 0.1% 25kt / 24h 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 30kt / 24h 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 35kt / 24h 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 40kt / 24h 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 45kt / 36h 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 55kt / 36h 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 55kt / 48h 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 70kt / 48h 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 65kt / 72h 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% Decapatation Guidance NOT VALID Thermodyanmic Conditions Unfavorable for Intense Typhoons Convective Decapatation Guidance For SSTs greater than 27.5C Current sst along the future track = 23.60 WP062025 250713 12UTC Storm Located at : 30.20 143.30 Guidance run with Vmax [kt]: 35.