Rapid Intensification Guidance

 WP072025 250713 06UTC
 Storm Located at           :     30.70    126.10
 Guidance run with Vmax [kt]:    30.


 Initial Conditions: 
 Predictor                Value    Favorable(F)/Unfavorable(U) 
 INTENSITY (VMAX) [kt]    30.00             F
 12-H DELTA VMAX  [kt]     0.00             N
 CORE SIZE        [km]    11.00             F
 CONVECTION <-50C [%]      3.00            VU
 CONVECTION <-60C [%]      0.00             U
 IR CORE SYMMETRY [K]      2.10             F
 TC SIZE          [%]    149.00             U


 Forecast Conditions:
 Predictor              Value                                         Favorable(F)/Unfavor(U) 
                           6    12    18    24    36    48    60    72  6 12 18 24 36 48 60 72
 Wind Shear [kt]        26.3  23.9  36.2  36.1  17.3  18.9  47.3  22.6  N  N  U  U  F  N VU  N
 Ocean Heat [kJ/cm^2]   11.0  16.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0  U  U  U  U  U  U  U  U
 Potential [kt]         86.5 101.2  69.3  60.7  40.2  39.6  44.1  48.4  N  N  U  U  U  U  U  U
 200mb Divg [10^6/s]    20.0  32.0  45.0   6.0 -27.0  35.0  46.0  43.0  U  N  N  U VU  N  N  N
 Humidity 700-500 hPa   62.0  60.0  53.0  49.0  47.0  48.0  48.0  50.0  N  N  U  U VU  U  U  U
 T Advectio [10^6 K/s]  -1.0  -6.0  -4.0   1.0   0.0   3.0  18.0  20.0  N  F  F  N  N  N VU VU


    Probabilities[%] of Rapid intensification
 Thresholds   LDA-Method  LRE-Method  CONSENSUS
 20kt / 12h        0.0%        0.1%        0.1%
 25kt / 24h        0.2%        0.2%        0.2%
 30kt / 24h        0.2%        0.0%        0.1%
 35kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 40kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 45kt / 36h        0.1%        0.3%        0.2%
 55kt / 36h        0.1%        0.0%        0.1%
 55kt / 48h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 70kt / 48h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 65kt / 72h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
Decapatation Guidance NOT VALID
Thermodyanmic Conditions Unfavorable for Intense Typhoons
 Convective Decapatation Guidance

 For SSTs greater than 27.5C

 Current sst along the future track = 25.52

 WP072025 250713 06UTC
 Storm Located at           :     30.70    126.10
 Guidance run with Vmax [kt]:    30.