Rapid Intensification Guidance

 WP132025 250804 18UTC
 Storm Located at           :     38.00    155.70
 Guidance run with Vmax [kt]:    30.


 Initial Conditions: 
 Predictor                Value    Favorable(F)/Unfavorable(U) 
 INTENSITY (VMAX) [kt]    30.00             F
 12-H DELTA VMAX  [kt]     0.00             N
 CORE SIZE        [km]     7.80             F
 CONVECTION <-50C [%]     16.00             U
 CONVECTION <-60C [%]      7.00             U
 IR CORE SYMMETRY [K]      3.40             F
 TC SIZE          [%]    130.00             U


 Forecast Conditions:
 Predictor              Value                                         Favorable(F)/Unfavor(U) 
                           6    12    18    24    36    48    60    72  6 12 18 24 36 48 60 72
 Wind Shear [kt]        20.9  22.3  26.9  28.9  40.1  52.8  58.3  59.4  N  N  N  N  U VU VU VU
 Ocean Heat [kJ/cm^2]    0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0  U  U  U  U  U  U  U  U
 Potential [kt]         42.1  41.4  32.2  25.0  17.3  15.4  13.5  14.0  U  U VU VU VU VU VU VU
 200mb Divg [10^6/s]    -7.0 -33.0   0.0 -20.0  12.0  22.0   7.0  20.0  U VU  U VU  U  U  U  U
 Humidity 700-500 hPa   45.0  43.0  45.0  51.0  56.0  68.0  64.0  69.0 VU VU VU  U  U  N  N  N
 T Advectio [10^6 K/s]   0.0   0.0  17.0  15.0  44.0  34.0  38.0  16.0  N  N  U  U VU VU VU  U


    Probabilities[%] of Rapid intensification
 Thresholds   LDA-Method  LRE-Method  CONSENSUS
 20kt / 12h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 25kt / 24h        0.2%        0.0%        0.1%
 30kt / 24h        0.2%        0.0%        0.1%
 35kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 40kt / 24h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 45kt / 36h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 55kt / 36h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 55kt / 48h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 70kt / 48h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
 65kt / 72h        0.0%        0.0%        0.0%
Decapatation Guidance NOT VALID
Thermodyanmic Conditions Unfavorable for Intense Typhoons
 Convective Decapatation Guidance

 For SSTs greater than 27.5C

 Current sst along the future track = 20.44

 WP132025 250804 18UTC
 Storm Located at           :     38.00    155.70
 Guidance run with Vmax [kt]:    30.